Bragantino vs Flamengo: match statistics
Bragantino vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino played Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Bragantino: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Flamengo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Flamengo scores 1.86 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 50%, Flamengo 57%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 25%, Flamengo 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.45. Bragantino: 16.4 shots per match, Flamengo: 13.3.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25. Flamengo: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 31-45+ (3 goals). Flamengo: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Flamengo is the favorite in this fixture — they sit 6th in the away table and have scored 13 goals on the road, while Bragantino are 15th at home with only 6 goals. In the last 5 matches Flamengo have scored 9 and conceded just 1 (record 3-2-0), whereas Bragantino have scored 4 and conceded 8, without a win (0-2-3). Statistically Flamengo is more efficient — averaging 1.75 goals away with a 14% conversion rate from 12.25 shots, while Bragantino at home average 1.0 goal with a 7% conversion from 14.25 shots. Defensively the visitors also look more stable: Bragantino concede 1.25 goals at home with an average xG against of 1.15, while Flamengo concede 1.00 away with xG against 0.99. Considering the edge in efficiency, the goal-difference gap (13 vs 6) and Flamengo’s 2.2 points per game over the last 5 matches versus 0.4 for Bragantino, I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I give a slight edge to the BTTS 'Yes' market — 55% vs 45% — because xG signals and season-long indicators marginally support both teams scoring, despite conflicting form metrics. Over the season Bragantino averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 0.33 per match, while Flamengo averages 1.75 scored and concedes 1.0; seasonal BTTS are 33% for Bragantino and 75% for Flamengo, yielding a combined team average of about 54%. However, in the last 5 matches the picture is reversed: Bragantino has BTTS 80% and concedes 1.6 goals on average (8 in 5), whereas Flamengo has BTTS 20% and concedes only 0.2 goals (1 in 5), which lowers the likelihood of both teams scoring. The xG-based model (Bragantino xG_for 1.65 vs Flamengo xG_against 0.99; Flamengo xG_for 1.3 vs Bragantino xG_against 1.05) estimates the probability of each team scoring at ~73% and ~69%, respectively, implying roughly 51% for BTTS. Considering the above figures, xG signals and the higher seasonal BTTS (avg 54% and league 57%) carry more weight for me than Flamengo’s short-term defensive run, so I recommend 'Yes' (55%) with the caveat that the risk of a Flamengo clean sheet reduces confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected xG as the average of attack and defense: for Bragantino (attacking xG 1.65 vs Flamengo defense 0.99) gives 1.33 xG, for Flamengo (attacking xG 1.30 vs Bragantino defense 1.05) gives 1.17 xG, totaling 2.50. Both teams have a season Over 1.5 rate of 100% (Bragantino 100%, Flamengo 100%), and Bragantino averages 14.67 shots and 5.0 on target with a 14% conversion, while Flamengo has 12.25 shots and 3.75 on target with the same conversion, which supports a minimum two-goal scenario. The 2.5 line gives mixed signals: Bragantino Over 2.5 in 33% of matches, Flamengo 75% (average 54%), and in the last 5 meetings both teams produced Over 2.5 in 40%, hence a moderate probability above 2.5. Over 3.5 is unlikely (season Over 3.5 = 0% for both teams), therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 given the projected total xG of 2.50.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 — Bragantino leads at the break and ultimately wins. The home side have led at half-time in 67% of their matches and average 0.67 goals by the break; over the season they score 2.0 goals and concede only 0.33 per home game with 67% clean sheets, which strongly supports them holding the lead. Additionally, Bragantino generate 5.0 shots on target versus Flamengo’s 3.75 and have a higher xG (1.65 vs 1.30), and in the second half they average 1.33 goals while conceding 0.0, which reduces the visitors’ chance of a turnaround. Flamengo, however, have won 60% of their last 5 matches (3 of 5) and have a seasonal 75% rate of away games with both teams scoring, so I also assign a meaningful share to scenarios involving an equalizer and a comeback.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Bragantino · 2.6 pts / match - Flamengo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 148% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.86 goals / match - Flamengo
Flamengo is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Bragantino · 0.71 goals / match - Flamengo
Bragantino scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Flamengo scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bragantino
Over / Under - Flamengo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Bragantino · 2 pts / match - Flamengo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
Flamengo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bragantino 0 - 0 - 2 Flamengo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs Flamengo?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 3:0 Flamengo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and Flamengo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 0, Flamengo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Flamengo?
Bragantino score 0.75 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.86. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bragantino's matches and 57% of Flamengo's.
What form are Bragantino and Flamengo in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Flamengo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Flamengo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.