Bragantino vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bragantino played Fortaleza in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 26 November 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Bragantino: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fortaleza: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bragantino scores 1.14 and concedes 1.51 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.09 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bragantino 57%, Fortaleza 50%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 57%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.34. Bragantino: 12.2 shots per match, Fortaleza: 13.3.

Match halves

Bragantino: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.57. Fortaleza: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Bragantino: 76-90+ (11 goals). Fortaleza: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
BragantinoFortaleza
18Shots8
BragantinoFortaleza
3Shots on target2
BragantinoFortaleza
1.79xG0.87
BragantinoFortaleza
8Corners3
BragantinoFortaleza
62Dangerous attacks30
BragantinoFortaleza
10Fouls9
BragantinoFortaleza
1Cards1
BragantinoFortaleza

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.14Goals scored / match1.09
BragantinoFortaleza
1.51Goals conceded / match1.56
BragantinoFortaleza
47%Average possession46%
BragantinoFortaleza
4.03Shots on target / match4.38
BragantinoFortaleza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.23Shots per match13.29
BragantinoFortaleza
4.03Shots on target4.38
BragantinoFortaleza
9.3%Shot conversion8.2%
BragantinoFortaleza
47%Possession46%
BragantinoFortaleza
1.34xG for1.39
BragantinoFortaleza
1.64xG against1.5
BragantinoFortaleza

Shooting quality

Bragantino: BalancedFortaleza: Balanced
BragantinoFortaleza
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bragantino is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza

Bragantino
LWWWL
Season result split
37% W17% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-16
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Fortaleza
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
24% W29% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-7-8
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bragantino is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.09 goals / match - Fortaleza

Bragantino scoring profile: very strong

Bragantino scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Fortaleza scoring profile: strong

Fortaleza scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).

40Goals scored (season)37
BragantinoFortaleza
53Goals conceded (season)53
BragantinoFortaleza
2.66Average goals in match2.65
BragantinoFortaleza
6Goals scored (last 5)10
BragantinoFortaleza
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
BragantinoFortaleza

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal65%
BragantinoFortaleza
26%2 goals26%
BragantinoFortaleza
3%3 goals12%
BragantinoFortaleza
3%4 goals3%
BragantinoFortaleza

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal76%
BragantinoFortaleza
49%2 goals47%
BragantinoFortaleza
20%3 goals18%
BragantinoFortaleza
6%4 goals9%
BragantinoFortaleza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time15%
BragantinoFortaleza
6%BTTS in both halves0%
BragantinoFortaleza
17%Scored in both halves15%
BragantinoFortaleza

BTTS and goal count

49%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
BragantinoFortaleza
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
BragantinoFortaleza
40%BTTS - last 5100%
BragantinoFortaleza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
BragantinoFortaleza
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
BragantinoFortaleza
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
BragantinoFortaleza

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
BragantinoFortaleza
51%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
BragantinoFortaleza
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
BragantinoFortaleza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bragantino is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.24 pts / match - Fortaleza

Bragantino - half-time state
34% leading34% draw31% trailing
Fortaleza - half-time state
35% leading18% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.24
BragantinoFortaleza
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.56
BragantinoFortaleza
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
BragantinoFortaleza
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.29
BragantinoFortaleza
57%Clean sheet before half-time44%
BragantinoFortaleza
49%No goal before half-time53%
BragantinoFortaleza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)1
BragantinoFortaleza
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
BragantinoFortaleza
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
BragantinoFortaleza
1.49Average goals (2nd half)1.35
BragantinoFortaleza
37%Clean sheet after half-time44%
BragantinoFortaleza
51%No goal after half-time68%
BragantinoFortaleza

Bragantino - second-half results

20% W46% D34% L
48
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortaleza - second-half results

21% W38% D41% L
42
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding69%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bragantino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bragantino
ScoredConceded
7
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
8
10
31-45
7
7
46-60
2
12
61-75
11
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
9
7
61-75
5
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bragantino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BragantinoLigaFortaleza
Average goals in match 2.662.47 2.65
Both teams scored 57%48% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%45% 47%
Clean sheets 26%30% 24%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 88%
Goal after half-time 77%75% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FortalezaYellow cardJosé María Herrera
  2. BragantinoYellow cardAlix Vinicius de Souza Sampaio
  3. BragantinoSubstitutionOn: Davi Gomes de AlvarengaOff: Gustavo Ribeiro Neves

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Bruno Arleu de AraujoMatches officiated: 19
5.95Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins26%Draws32%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bragantino 0 - 0 - 1 Fortaleza. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Fortaleza EC
3 : 1
Clube Atlético Bragantino

FAQ

What was the result of Bragantino vs Fortaleza?

The Serie A match finished Bragantino 0:1 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Fortaleza?

Bragantino score 1.14 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.09. The Serie A average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Bragantino's matches and 50% of Fortaleza's.

What form are Bragantino and Fortaleza in?

Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fortaleza 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Fortaleza?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bragantino vs Fortaleza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.