Bragantino vs Mirassol: match statistics
Bragantino vs Mirassol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino played Mirassol in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 7 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bragantino: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Mirassol: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 1.18 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Mirassol scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 50%, Mirassol 68%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 39%, Mirassol 54%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.51. Bragantino: 16.4 shots per match, Mirassol: 13.6.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.54. Mirassol: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 31-45+ (10 goals). Mirassol: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bragantino are the favourites at home: they have won 46% of their home matches, while Mirassol have won just 15% of their away fixtures and lost 62% of them. The hosts average 1.46 goals scored at home against an xG of 1.87, while the visitors score 0.92 goals per away game with an xG of 1.24, pointing to greater attacking potential for Bragantino. The defensive difference is also clear: the hosts concede an average of 1.08 goals at home, compared with 1.62 for Mirassol away, who are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. However, caution is warranted: Mirassol have recorded 2 wins and 1 defeat in their last five matches, while Bragantino have won just once and lost 3 times. Despite the visitors’ better recent record, their poor away form points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 73% of Bragantino’s matches and 62% of Mirassol’s, above the league average of 60% in both cases. Bragantino score an average of 1.4 goals at home and generate an xG of 1.75, while Mirassol concede an average of 1.62 goals away from home, which strongly supports the hosts’ chances of scoring. An away goal is less certain, as Mirassol score an average of 0.92 goals on the road and failed to score in 38% of their matches. However, Bragantino concede an average of 1.4 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in only 13% of matches. Mirassol scored an average of 1.4 goals over their last five matches, while Bragantino conceded 1.6. So, despite the risk on the visitors’ side, it is more likely that both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this threshold has been cleared in 80% of Bragantino’s matches and 69% of Mirassol’s. The hosts average 1.75 xG, while the visitors allow opponents 1.68 xG and concede 1.62 goals per match, which favors Bragantino finding the net. Mirassol score an average of 0.92 goals, but Bragantino concede 1.40, so an away goal remains a realistic possibility. The projected total of 2.77 goals supports Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line is less certain: at least 3 goals were scored in 60% of the hosts’ matches and 46% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Bragantino leading at the break and maintaining that advantage until the final whistle. The hosts led at half-time in 40% of their matches, while Mirassol were trailing at the break in 38%; Bragantino averaged 0.8 goals in the first half, while the visitors conceded 0.77. The case for a home win is also supported by an average xG of 1.75 compared with Mirassol’s 1.24, as well as 5.67 shots on target per match versus 3.31. However, this is not a certain pick: over their last five matches, Mirassol averaged 1.6 points per game compared with Bragantino’s 0.8, and the hosts were level at half-time in 47% of their matches. Nevertheless, Bragantino’s season-long advantage in wins, 40% to 15%, makes 1/1 the strongest single selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mirassol is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.6 pts / match - Mirassol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bragantino is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.5 goals / match - Mirassol
Bragantino scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).
Mirassol scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bragantino
Over / Under - Mirassol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
Mirassol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.66 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bragantino 2 - 1 - 0 Mirassol. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs Mirassol?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 1:1 Mirassol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and Mirassol?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 2, Mirassol won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs Mirassol?
Bragantino score 1.18 goals per game on average and Mirassol 1.18. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bragantino's matches and 68% of Mirassol's.
What form are Bragantino and Mirassol in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mirassol 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs Mirassol?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bragantino vs Mirassol: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.