Bragantino vs São Paulo: match statistics
São Paulo presents a definitely better form this season, holding first place in the table with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Their points per game average in the last 5 fixtures is an impressive 2.4, while Bragantino achieves only 1.0. In away matches, São Paulo remains undefeated with a 50% win rate and better shot conversion (12% vs 8%). Bragantino indeed has decent home form, but their recent overall results (lwldd) show instability. São Paulo also controls ball possession on the road (54% vs 44% for Bragantino at home), demonstrating their dominance in ball circulation. Considering all statistics, the visitors' advantage is clear, although Bragantino can fight for a draw on their own turf.
Bragantino vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bragantino played São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bragantino: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. São Paulo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bragantino scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.60 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bragantino 40%, São Paulo 40%. Over 2.5: Bragantino 0%, São Paulo 20%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.37. Bragantino: 17.0 shots per match, São Paulo: 12.6.
Match halves
Bragantino: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. São Paulo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Bragantino: 31-45+ (2 goals). São Paulo: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
São Paulo presents a definitely better form this season, holding first place in the table with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Their points per game average in the last 5 fixtures is an impressive 2.4, while Bragantino achieves only 1.0. In away matches, São Paulo remains undefeated with a 50% win rate and better shot conversion (12% vs 8%). Bragantino indeed has decent home form, but their recent overall results (lwldd) show instability. São Paulo also controls ball possession on the road (54% vs 44% for Bragantino at home), demonstrating their dominance in ball circulation. Considering all statistics, the visitors' advantage is clear, although Bragantino can fight for a draw on their own turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bragantino | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
São Paulo is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bragantino · 2.6 pts / match - São Paulo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Paulo is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Bragantino · 1.6 goals / match - São Paulo
São Paulo is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Bragantino · 0.4 goals / match - São Paulo
Bragantino scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
São Paulo scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bragantino
Over / Under - São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Bragantino · 1.2 pts / match - São Paulo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bragantino
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bragantino | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 60% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 45% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 20% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 79% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bragantino 1 - 1 - 0 São Paulo. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bragantino vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Bragantino 1:2 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bragantino and São Paulo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bragantino won 1, São Paulo won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bragantino vs São Paulo?
Bragantino score 0.80 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.60. The Serie A average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Bragantino's matches and 40% of São Paulo's.
What form are Bragantino and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Bragantino have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and São Paulo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bragantino vs São Paulo?
The statistical background for Bragantino vs São Paulo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.