Braintree Town vs Eastleigh: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly balanced match between the two teams. While Braintree Town occupies a lower league position (21st), they are playing at home, where they have a goal difference of -1 and a 60% clean sheet rate, demonstrating solid defensive resilience on their own ground. Eastleigh sits in 16th place, but their away form is poor - a 47% loss rate on the road, only a 13% clean sheet rate, and a run of four consecutive defeats in their last five matches overall. Both teams struggle with offensive efficiency - Braintree fails to score in 53% of their home games, while Eastleigh fails to score in 40% of their away fixtures. Considering the poor form of both sides (Braintree: 0.8 PPG, Eastleigh: 0.6 PPG in their last 5 matches) and the hosts' defensive approach, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome in this clash of teams from the lower half of the table.
Braintree Town vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Braintree Town played Eastleigh in National League (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Braintree Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Eastleigh: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Braintree Town scores 0.66 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Eastleigh scores 1.18 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Braintree Town 28%, Eastleigh 64%. Over 2.5: Braintree Town 38%, Eastleigh 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Braintree Town has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. Braintree Town: 12.0 shots per match, Eastleigh: 9.1.
Match halves
Braintree Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.41. Eastleigh: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Braintree Town: 76-90+ (7 goals). Eastleigh: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly balanced match between the two teams. While Braintree Town occupies a lower league position (21st), they are playing at home, where they have a goal difference of -1 and a 60% clean sheet rate, demonstrating solid defensive resilience on their own ground. Eastleigh sits in 16th place, but their away form is poor - a 47% loss rate on the road, only a 13% clean sheet rate, and a run of four consecutive defeats in their last five matches overall. Both teams struggle with offensive efficiency - Braintree fails to score in 53% of their home games, while Eastleigh fails to score in 40% of their away fixtures. Considering the poor form of both sides (Braintree: 0.8 PPG, Eastleigh: 0.6 PPG in their last 5 matches) and the hosts' defensive approach, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome in this clash of teams from the lower half of the table.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Braintree Town | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
0.66 goals / match - Braintree Town · 1.18 goals / match - Eastleigh
Braintree Town is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Braintree Town · 1.61 goals / match - Eastleigh
Braintree Town scores in 45% of matches (13 of 29 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
Eastleigh scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Braintree Town keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Braintree Town
Over / Under - Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eastleigh is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Braintree Town · 1.14 pts / match - Eastleigh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Braintree Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Braintree Town
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Braintree Town | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.82 | • 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 54% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Braintree Town 1 - 0 - 0 Eastleigh. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Braintree Town vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished Braintree Town 2:1 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Braintree Town vs Eastleigh?
Braintree Town score 0.66 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.18. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Braintree Town's matches and 64% of Eastleigh's.
What form are Braintree Town and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games Braintree Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Eastleigh 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Braintree Town vs Eastleigh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.