Braintree Town vs Wealdstone: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very even encounter between two teams from the bottom of the table. Braintree Town holds a minimal home advantage, with a better goal difference at home (-1 vs -13 for Wealdstone away) and a higher percentage of clean sheets (56% vs 12%). However, Wealdstone surpasses the hosts in possession (57% vs 48%) and shot efficiency (10% vs 6%), and fails to score less often away (29% vs 50% for the hosts at home). Both teams have identical form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG) and similar defensive issues, suggesting a draw is possible. Given the poor form of both squads, the high average of goals conceded, and even xG statistics, the most likely scenario is a split of points, although Braintree's slight home advantage gives them marginally better chances for a win.
Braintree Town vs Wealdstone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Braintree Town played Wealdstone in National League (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Braintree Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Wealdstone: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Braintree Town scores 0.75 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Wealdstone scores 1.24 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Braintree Town 36%, Wealdstone 58%. Over 2.5: Braintree Town 42%, Wealdstone 55%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Wealdstone has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.50. Braintree Town: 12.0 shots per match, Wealdstone: 12.4.
Match halves
Braintree Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50. Wealdstone: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Braintree Town: 76-90+ (9 goals). Wealdstone: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very even encounter between two teams from the bottom of the table. Braintree Town holds a minimal home advantage, with a better goal difference at home (-1 vs -13 for Wealdstone away) and a higher percentage of clean sheets (56% vs 12%). However, Wealdstone surpasses the hosts in possession (57% vs 48%) and shot efficiency (10% vs 6%), and fails to score less often away (29% vs 50% for the hosts at home). Both teams have identical form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG) and similar defensive issues, suggesting a draw is possible. Given the poor form of both squads, the high average of goals conceded, and even xG statistics, the most likely scenario is a split of points, although Braintree's slight home advantage gives them marginally better chances for a win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Braintree Town | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Braintree Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Braintree Town · 0.6 pts / match - Wealdstone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wealdstone is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Braintree Town · 1.24 goals / match - Wealdstone
Braintree Town is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Braintree Town · 1.7 goals / match - Wealdstone
Braintree Town scores in 50% of matches (18 of 36 matches), while Wealdstone keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Wealdstone scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Braintree Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Braintree Town
Over / Under - Wealdstone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Braintree Town is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Braintree Town · 0.79 pts / match - Wealdstone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Braintree Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wealdstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Braintree Town
Wealdstone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Braintree Town | Liga | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.93 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 57% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 56% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Braintree Town 0 - 0 - 1 Wealdstone. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Braintree Town vs Wealdstone?
The National League match finished Braintree Town 1:4 Wealdstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Braintree Town vs Wealdstone?
Braintree Town score 0.75 goals per game on average and Wealdstone 1.24. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Braintree Town's matches and 58% of Wealdstone's.
What form are Braintree Town and Wealdstone in?
Over the last 5 games Braintree Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Wealdstone 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Braintree Town vs Wealdstone?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Braintree Town vs Wealdstone: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.