Brazil vs Japan: match statistics
Brazil vs Japan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brazil played Japan in World Cup (International). The match was played on 29 June 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Brazil: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Japan: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brazil scores 2.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Japan scores 2.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brazil 33%, Japan 67%. Over 2.5: Brazil 67%, Japan 67%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Brazil has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.14. Brazil: 13.7 shots per match, Japan: 9.7.
Match halves
Brazil: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Japan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67.
Goals by minute
Brazil: 31-45+ (4 goals). Japan: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: Japan can maintain structure off the ball and quickly move play after recovery, which limits Brazil's comfort in playing the ball. The most likely 90-minute sensation is a draw, and not necessarily elimination Brazil. Our prediction is 35% for Brazil, 36% for draw and 29% for Japan. Most likely exact result: 1:1. Promotion: Brazil (58% vs 42%). Status: BET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: yes. Brazil has a higher individual ceiling, but Japan is one of the hardest teams to break with their pace and pressing. Japan can maintain structure off the ball and quickly move play after recovery, which limits Brazil's comfort in playing the ball. The most likely 90-minute sensation is a draw, and not necessarily elimination Brazil. Both teams have a viable path to goal: the favorite through longer possession or individual quality, and the other side through transitions, set pieces or space after the opening match. The model gives 57% on BTTS Yes and 43% on BTTS No, with expected goals Brazil 1.35, Japan 1.20. Status: SMALL BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: under 2.5. Brazil has a higher individual ceiling, but Japan is one of the hardest teams to break with their pace and pressing. Japan can maintain structure off the ball and quickly move play after recovery, which limits Brazil's comfort in playing the ball. The most likely 90-minute sensation is a draw, and not necessarily elimination Brazil. The gate model gives 47% on Over 2.5 and 53% on Under 2.5. xG: Brazil 1.35, Japan 1.20, total 2.55. Most likely result: 1:1. Line 2.5 separates a controlled match from an open match. In this pair, the underlying score and the need for caution after conceding a goal for the first time are more important than the teams' branding itself. Status: NOBET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: X/X. Brazil has a higher individual ceiling, but Japan is one of the hardest teams to break with their pace and pressing. Japan can maintain structure off the ball and quickly move play after recovery, which limits Brazil's comfort in playing the ball. The most likely sensation for 90 minutes is a draw, and not necessarily elimination Brazil. We assume a cautious start and the outcome only after one side increases the risk or the favorite finds more space. The highest model paths are X/X 25%, 1/1 19% and 2/2 15%. The HT/FT spread is calibrated to our 1X2 35%-36%-29% and does not use odds. Status: SMALL BET
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brazil | Japan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.63 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brazil is 40% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Brazil · 1.67 pts / match - Japan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brazil is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Brazil · 1 goals / match - Japan
Brazil scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Japan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Japan scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Brazil keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brazil
Over / Under - Japan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brazil is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Brazil · 1.67 pts / match - Japan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brazil - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Japan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brazil
Japan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Brazil | Liga | Japan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Brazil vs Japan?
The World Cup match finished Brazil 2:1 Japan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brazil vs Japan?
Brazil score 2.33 goals per game on average and Japan 2.33. The World Cup average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Brazil's matches and 67% of Japan's.
What form are Brazil and Japan in?
Over the last 5 games Brazil have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Japan 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brazil vs Japan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.