Breidablik vs KA: match statistics
Breidablik vs KA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Breidablik played KA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Venue: Kópavogsvöllur. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Breidablik: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. KA: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Breidablik scores 2.60 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. KA scores 1.50 and concedes 1.90. League average: 4.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Breidablik 70%, KA 60%. Over 2.5: Breidablik 70%, KA 50%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Breidablik has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.67. Breidablik: 15.5 shots per match, KA: 14.7.
Match halves
Breidablik: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20. KA: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Breidablik: 46-60 (6 goals). KA: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.05 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breidablik are the clear favorites: they sit 4th in the table and have scored 26 goals this season versus KA's 15. In the last 5 matches the hosts have netted 18 goals (3.6 per game) while KA have 9 (1.8 per game). At home Breidablik average 18 shots and 6.75 on target per match with a conversion rate of 19%, whereas KA away average 15 shots and 5.25 on target with a 12% conversion, giving the hosts a clear superiority in the quality of scoring opportunities. Defensively the hosts also look better — Breidablik concede 1.5 goals on average at home versus KA's 1.75 away and have 50% clean sheets at home compared to KA's 25%. Form backs this up: Breidablik have 1.4 points per game in their last 5 matches, while KA have only 0.6 and have lost 4 of their last 5 (form: lwlll). Additionally neither team has a goalless match (FTS 0% for both), so I expect a home win in an open, high-scoring game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes is that both teams had 80% of matches with both teams scoring in their last 5 games (80% vs 80%), against a league BTTS rate of 71%. This season KA records 75% of matches with both teams scoring versus 50% for Breidablik, and clean sheets are rare: 17% for the home side and 25% for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Breidablik averages 3.6 goals scored and concedes 2.8, while KA scores 1.8 and concedes 2.6, indicating open, high-scoring encounters. Recent xG are 2.16 for Breidablik and 2.13 for KA with xG against of 2.2 and 1.87, and average shots on target 4.33 vs 5.25 and conversion rates 9% vs 12% confirm both sides create genuine scoring opportunities. Therefore the strongest data-driven signal is BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining xG values and defensive metrics projects 1.83 expected goals for Breidablik (xG_for 1.54 vs xG_against KA 2.12) and 1.77 for KA (xG_for 1.87 vs xG_against Breidablik 1.66), for a total of 3.60 expected goals. Both teams record a high share of matches over 1.5 goals this season: Breidablik 83% and KA 75% (average 79%), while the league average goals is 4.05, which strongly supports Over 1.5 (model estimate ~87%). For the 2.5 line there is also a strong signal: combined xG 3.60, last 5 matches Over 2.5 for Breidablik 100% and for KA 80% (average 90% over the last 5), and league-wide Over 2.5 rate is 73%, hence an assessment of ~70% for Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is less certain — season Over 3.5 shares are 33% (home) and 25% (away), and the model gives roughly 48–49% chances of >3.5 goals, i.e. an almost coin-flip distribution. Based on the above, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (OVER), as it has the largest probability advantage over Under (approx. 87% vs 13%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Breidablik led at the break in 3 of 5 games (60%), while KA did not lead at all in those 5 (0%). Half-time goals also favor the hosts: Breidablik average 2.0 goals by half-time in the last 5 matches, and KA only 0.6, a difference of 1.4 goals. However, KA is very strong after the break — the visitors score an average of 1.75 goals in the second half and have a 100% record in second-half wins according to available statistics, whereas Breidablik score an average of 0.5 goals in the second half and win second halves in only 17% of cases. Additionally, KA has a higher season win percentage (50% vs. Breidablik’s 17%) and a higher average xG (1.87 vs. 1.54), indicating a greater ability to overturn deficits and secure the final victory. On this basis the most likely HT/FT outcome is Breidablik leading at half-time with KA winning at full-time (1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Breidablik | KA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KA is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Breidablik · 1.2 pts / match - KA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - Breidablik · 1.5 goals / match - KA
Breidablik scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
KA scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Breidablik
Over / Under - KA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Breidablik · 0.6 pts / match - KA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Breidablik
KA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Breidablik | Liga | KA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.50 | 4.05 | ▼ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | • 70% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 15% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 89% | • 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Breidablik 1 - 1 - 0 KA. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Breidablik vs KA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Breidablik 3:1 KA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Breidablik and KA?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Breidablik won 1, KA won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs KA?
Breidablik score 2.60 goals per game on average and KA 1.50. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Breidablik's matches and 60% of KA's.
What form are Breidablik and KA in?
Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and KA 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs KA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Breidablik vs KA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.