Breidablik vs Keflavík: match statistics
Breidablik vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Breidablik played Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 13 July 2026. Venue: Kópavogsvöllur. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Breidablik: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Keflavík: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Breidablik scores 2.46 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.38 and concedes 1.85. League average: 4.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Breidablik 77%, Keflavík 85%. Over 2.5: Breidablik 77%, Keflavík 62%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Breidablik has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.60. Breidablik: 14.5 shots per match, Keflavík: 15.2.
Match halves
Breidablik: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.38. Keflavík: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Breidablik: 46-60 (7 goals). Keflavík: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breiðablik holds a clear offensive advantage and superior form: at home they average 3.00 goals per game from 16.17 shots and 6.00 on target, and have scored 32 goals this season, whereas Keflavík average 1.67 goals away from 13.83 shots and 4.67 on target, with 18 goals this season. Home side’s shot conversion is 19% versus the visitors’ 12%, and average xG is 1.88 for Breiðablik and 1.53 for Keflavík, confirming the hosts’ superiority in chance quality. Defensively Breiðablik concede 1.83 goals on average at home, while Keflavík concede 2.5 goals away; additionally the hosts have 33% clean sheets at home, whereas the visitors have recorded no away clean sheets. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 13 goals, won 3 of 5 and average 2.0 points per game, while the visitors scored 7 goals, won 1 of 5 and average 1.0 point per game. Considering higher shots on target (6 vs 4.67), better conversion and higher average xG, I forecast a home win; estimated probabilities: Breiðablik 65%, draw 20%, Keflavík 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes stems from Keflavík’s season BTTS rate of 100% with 0% clean sheets and an average conceded goals of 2.5 per match. Breidablik also frequently allows goals: season BTTS 71% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with averages of 2.6 scored and 2.0 conceded in their last 5 fixtures. xG indicates an offensive profile for both teams: xG for home 1.67 versus 1.53 for away, and xG against 1.5 (home) and 1.8 (away), meaning both sides create and concede scoring opportunities. Shots on target stats 4.29 (Breidablik) and 4.67 (Keflavík) and the league BTTS rate of 74% with an average 4.0 goals per match further increase the likelihood of goals from both teams. Considering Keflavík’s 100% season BTTS, Breidablik’s 80% BTTS in recent matches and the high average concessions of 2.5 and 2.0, I assess BTTS probability at 90% vs 10% No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.74 expected goals for Breidablik and 1.52 for Keflavík (total 3.26), calculated from average xG: hosts generate 1.67 xG while opponents concede 1.80 xG; visitors generate 1.53 xG against 1.50 xG conceded by the hosts. This season Breidablik has Over 1.5 in 71% of home matches, and Keflavík has Over 1.5 in 100% of away matches; additionally, in the last 5 games the hosts scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and Keflavík conceded 12 goals (2.4 avg). A Poisson model with λ=3.26 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈84%, Over 2.5 ≈63% and Over 3.5 ≈41%, which aligns with seasonal rates (over2.5: 43% for hosts vs 83% for guests). Both teams show high BTTS rates: 71% for hosts and 100% for guests, and with 16.43 shots for the hosts and 13.83 for the guests plus conversion rates of 7% vs 12%, the visitors’ greater efficiency increases the likelihood of multiple goals. Based on this, the strongest signal is betting Over 1.5, as the combination of xG=3.26, high BTTS and seasonal 71%/100% over1.5 provides the best statistical support.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor a draw: Breidablik were level at the break in 57% of their matches, while Keflavík were trailing at half-time in 67% of games and were leading only in 17%. In the second half, however, the advantage lies with Breidablik — in their last five home matches the hosts won 60% (3 of 5) and averaged 2.6 goals across those five, whereas Keflavík have a 20% win rate and average 1.4 goals. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.67 versus 1.53 for the visitors, and over the season Breidablik concede on average 1.29 goals compared to Keflavík’s 2.5 conceded, indicating the hosts are more defensively efficient and generate higher-quality chances. Based on this, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Breidablik turnaround to win (X/1) — I assign this outcome 26%, while 1/1 receives 20% due to a 29% probability that Breidablik will take the lead before the break and hold it through full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Breidablik | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Breidablik is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Breidablik · 1 pts / match - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
2.46 goals / match - Breidablik · 1.38 goals / match - Keflavík
Breidablik scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Keflavík scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Breidablik
Over / Under - Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Breidablik · 1.08 pts / match - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Breidablik
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Breidablik | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.38 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 14% | • 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Breidablik 0 - 1 - 0 Keflavík. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Breidablik vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Breidablik 2:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs Keflavík?
Breidablik score 2.46 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.38. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Breidablik's matches and 85% of Keflavík's.
What form are Breidablik and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Keflavík 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs Keflavík?
The statistical background for Breidablik vs Keflavík — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.