Breidablik vs Thór: match statistics
Breidablik vs Thór: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Breidablik played Thór in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 27 April 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Breidablik: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match. Thór: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Breidablik scores 0.67 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Thór scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Breidablik 33%, Thór 67%. Over 2.5: Breidablik 0%, Thór 67%. League level: BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Thór has higher xG: 1.04 vs 0.98. Breidablik: 8.7 shots per match, Thór: 8.7.
Match halves
Breidablik: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.00. Thór: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Breidablik: 0-15 (1 goals). Thór: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.76 goals per match, BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Breidablik has a 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets at home, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0 goals conceded per match, with home xG 1.07 versus opponents’ xG 1.52, indicating an effective defense despite allowing chances. Thór on the road statistically shows greater attacking potential — averaging 2.0 goals per match, 2.5 shots on target and a 19% conversion with xG 1.21 — but concedes an average of 3.0 goals away and has xG against 2.45. In head-to-head metrics the visitors produce more shots on target (2.5 vs 1.0) and convert better (19% vs 9%), yet the home side does not concede at home (0.0 avg) and maintains 100% clean sheets. Trends reinforce the home advantage: Breidablik scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and averages 1.6 points per game, while Thór scored 7, conceded 12 and averages 1.2 points per game, indicating greater instability for the visitors. Therefore I predict a home win and assess probabilities as 60% Breidablik, 20% draw and 20% Thór win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The more likely scenario in this match is BTTS - Yes — I rate it at 78% versus 22% for No, because several offensive and defensive indicators favor both teams scoring. The strongest signal comes from Thór: seasonally they have 100% of matches with both teams scoring and concede on average 3.0 goals per match (6 conceded this season), and in the last 5 games they have conceded 12 goals, i.e. 2.4 per match. Both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, and the league has 72% of matches with BTTS, indicating a goal-friendly environment for both sides. Offensively Thór generates 1.21 xG and on average 10.5 shots per match with a conversion of about 19%, which explains their seasonal average of 2.0 goals scored; Breidablik, meanwhile, has scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per match) and conceded 5 (1.0 per match). Although Breidablik has a season-long 100% clean sheets at home (which may be due to a small sample), their last 5 matches show 1.46 xG against, and Thór has 1.96 xG against in their last 5, so I predict both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG and defensive profiles give 1.59 expected goals for Breidablik (attacking xG 0.72 vs opponent defensive xG 2.45 → (0.72+2.45)/2=1.59) and 1.62 for Thór (attacking xG 1.21 vs Breidablik defensive xG 2.02 → (1.21+2.02)/2=1.62), totaling 3.21 expected goals. The league averages 3.56 goals per match, and Thór away have 100% of games over 2.5 with an average of 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded per season, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Visitors average 10.5 shots per match versus hosts' 5.0 with similar conversion rates of 19–20%, so Thór’s greater shot volume raises the probability of them scoring. A Poisson model with λ=3.21 yields about an 83% chance of Over 1.5 (≥2 goals), about 62% for Over 2.5 (≥3), and about 40% for Over 3.5 (≥4), reflecting the expected level of play. Therefore the strongest data-driven signal is Over 1.5; Over 2.5 also has solid support, while Over 3.5 remains less certain.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics indicate a draw: the home side have been level at the break in 100% of matches this season (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 100.0), while the away side have been level at half-time in 50% (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 50.0), so the most likely half-time score is a draw. Nevertheless, the home team have a 100% win rate this season and average 3.0 points per game (winPercentage_home = 100.0, seasonPPG_home = 3.0), whereas Thór average 1.5 points per game and lose 50% of their matches (seasonPPG_away = 1.5, losePercentage_away = 50.0), which supports an away-side defeat at full-time. The home side also dominate second halves: they average 1.0 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_home = 1.0) and have a 100% win rate in second halves (wins_2hg_percentage_home = 100.0), while the visitors concede an average of 1.5 second-half goals (conceded_2hg_avg_away = 1.5) and have scored 2 goals in minutes 76–90 (goals_scored_min_76_to_90_away = 2.0). Expected chances show Thór generate more opportunities (xG_for_avg_away = 1.21 vs xG_for_avg_home = 0.72), but the high percentage of clean sheets for the hosts (seasonCSPercentage_home = 100.0) and the hosts’ season-long zero goals conceded (seasonConcededAVG_home = 0.0) suggest Breidablik remain more likely to win despite the visitors’ xG advantage. Consequently, the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Breidablik | Thór | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 15% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Thór is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.67 pts / match - Breidablik · 2 pts / match - Thór
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Thór is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Breidablik · 1.67 goals / match - Thór
Breidablik is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Breidablik · 2 goals / match - Thór
Breidablik scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Thór keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Thór scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Breidablik
Over / Under - Thór
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Breidablik · 0.67 pts / match - Thór
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Thór - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Breidablik
Thór
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Breidablik | Liga | Thór | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 3.76 | • 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 67% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 14% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Breidablik vs Thór?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Breidablik 4:0 Thór. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs Thór?
Breidablik score 0.67 goals per game on average and Thór 1.67. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Breidablik's matches and 67% of Thór's.
What form are Breidablik and Thór in?
Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Thór 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs Thór?
The statistical background for Breidablik vs Thór — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.