Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brentford play AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match date is 27 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Brentford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brentford scores 1.45 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brentford 53%, AFC Bournemouth 66%. Over 2.5: Brentford 53%, AFC Bournemouth 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.28. Brentford: 10.7 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 13.8.

Match halves

Brentford: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.82. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Brentford: 76-90+ (19 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
15Shots20
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
7Shots on target10
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.75xG2.56
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
2Corners15
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
44Dangerous attacks84
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
9Fouls8
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
2Cards2
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.45Goals scored / match1.53
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.37Goals conceded / match1.42
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
48%Average possession50%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
3.87Shots on target / match4.66
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.66Shots per match13.79
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
3.87Shots on target4.66
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
13.6%Shot conversion11.1%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
48%Possession50%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.28xG for1.56
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.54xG against1.47
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

Shooting quality

Brentford: Efficient finishingAFC Bournemouth: Balanced
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AFC Bournemouth is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Brentford · 1.8 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth

Brentford
LWLDD
Season result split
37% W29% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-13
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-8-3
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
AFC Bournemouth
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
34% W47% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-18-7
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-8-5
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AFC Bournemouth is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Brentford · 1.53 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth

Brentford scoring profile: strong

Brentford scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

AFC Bournemouth scoring profile: very strong

AFC Bournemouth scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

55Goals scored (season)58
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
52Goals conceded (season)54
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
2.82Average goals in match2.95
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
7Goals scored (last 5)8
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal82%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
42%2 goals53%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
26%3 goals16%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
8%4 goals3%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal71%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
53%2 goals39%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
11%3 goals21%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
0%4 goals11%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time24%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
13%BTTS in both halves13%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
32%Scored in both halves29%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
60%BTTS - last 560%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Brentford - half-time state
37% leading34% draw29% trailing
AFC Bournemouth - half-time state
34% leading39% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.42
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.68
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.29
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
53%Clean sheet before half-time55%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
55%No goal before half-time50%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.32
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.66
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
45%Clean sheet after half-time47%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth
45%No goal after half-time39%
BrentfordAFC Bournemouth

Brentford - second-half results

29% W42% R29% P
55
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AFC Bournemouth - second-half results

29% W45% R26% P
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Brentford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
AFC Bournemouth - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brentford
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
6
8
16-30
10
10
31-45
6
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
19
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

AFC Bournemouth
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
8
7
16-30
10
11
31-45
6
7
46-60
10
9
61-75
16
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brentford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

AFC Bournemouth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

BrentfordLigaAFC Bournemouth
Average goals in match 2.822.75 2.95
Both teams scored 53%56% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%55% 55%
Clean sheets 26%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 71%72% 71%
Goal after half-time 76%79% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Brentford 0 - 1 - 0 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?

The Premier League match finished Brentford 4:1 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?

Brentford score 1.45 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.53. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Brentford's matches and 66% of AFC Bournemouth's.

What form are Brentford and AFC Bournemouth in?

Over the last 5 games Brentford have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth?

The statistical background for Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.