Brentford vs Arsenal: match statistics
As the league leaders, Arsenal displays significantly better form than Brentford, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games compared to the hosts' 1.8. The Gunners have won four of their last five matches, while Brentford has lost two. Arsenal boasts better offensive statistics (averaging 1.5 goals per match away) and an impressive defense (50% clean sheets away, averaging 0.75 goals conceded). Although Brentford performs well at home (58% win rate), Arsenal achieves an identical win percentage on the road. The advantage in possession (57% vs 46%), higher shots on target (5.25 vs 4.33), and superior xG metrics (1.63 vs 1.37) speak decisively in favor of the visitors. Arsenal's away goal difference (+9) compared to Brentford's home record (+11) is similar, but the overall qualitative superiority of the London side should determine the result.
Brentford vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brentford played Arsenal in Premier League (England). The match was played on 12 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Brentford: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Arsenal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brentford scores 1.56 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Arsenal scores 1.96 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brentford 52%, Arsenal 44%. Over 2.5: Brentford 52%, Arsenal 52%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Arsenal has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.27. Brentford: 10.3 shots per match, Arsenal: 15.0.
Match halves
Brentford: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.92. Arsenal: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.24.
Goals by minute
Brentford: 76-90+ (14 goals). Arsenal: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Arsenal displays significantly better form than Brentford, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games compared to the hosts' 1.8. The Gunners have won four of their last five matches, while Brentford has lost two. Arsenal boasts better offensive statistics (averaging 1.5 goals per match away) and an impressive defense (50% clean sheets away, averaging 0.75 goals conceded). Although Brentford performs well at home (58% win rate), Arsenal achieves an identical win percentage on the road. The advantage in possession (57% vs 46%), higher shots on target (5.25 vs 4.33), and superior xG metrics (1.63 vs 1.37) speak decisively in favor of the visitors. Arsenal's away goal difference (+9) compared to Brentford's home record (+11) is similar, but the overall qualitative superiority of the London side should determine the result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brentford | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Brentford · 1.6 pts / match - Arsenal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Brentford · 1.96 goals / match - Arsenal
Arsenal is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Brentford · 0.68 goals / match - Arsenal
Brentford scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 matches).
Arsenal scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brentford
Over / Under - Arsenal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Brentford · 1.8 pts / match - Arsenal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brentford
Arsenal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brentford | Liga | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brentford 0 - 0 - 1 Arsenal. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brentford vs Arsenal?
The Premier League match finished Brentford 1:1 Arsenal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brentford vs Arsenal?
Brentford score 1.56 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.96. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Brentford's matches and 44% of Arsenal's.
What form are Brentford and Arsenal in?
Over the last 5 games Brentford have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Arsenal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brentford vs Arsenal?
The statistical background for Brentford vs Arsenal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.