Brentford vs Crystal Palace: match statistics
Brentford vs Crystal Palace: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brentford played Crystal Palace in Premier League (England). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Gtech Community Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Brentford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Crystal Palace: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brentford scores 1.44 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Crystal Palace scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brentford 50%, Crystal Palace 50%. Over 2.5: Brentford 53%, Crystal Palace 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Crystal Palace has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.28. Brentford: 10.6 shots per match, Crystal Palace: 11.6.
Match halves
Brentford: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.81. Crystal Palace: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Brentford: 76-90+ (18 goals). Crystal Palace: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the hosts — Brentford — primarily due to home statistical advantage: Brentford at home average 1.72 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per match, whereas Crystal Palace away record is 1.11 scored and 1.44 conceded per match. The hosts generate more chances (11.89 shots and 4.17 on target at home versus 9.56 and 3.44 for Palace away) and have higher shot efficiency (14% vs 12%). In terms of chance quality Brentford post 1.39 xG at home compared to Palace’s 1.13 xG away, with xG against of 1.41 vs 1.51, suggesting the hosts create slightly better and more efficient opportunities. In the last 5 matches Brentford scored 6 and conceded 7 (averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded), while Palace scored 7 and conceded 10, and Brentford hold a positive home goal difference (+12) versus Palace’s −6 away. Given these figures, I assign Brentford a 52% chance to win, 26% for a draw and 22% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 50% (Brentford 50%, Crystal Palace 50%), while the league average for BTTS is 55%, indicating both-teams-scoring occurs slightly more than half the time. In the last 5 matches Brentford had BTTS 40%, scored 6 and conceded 7 goals (avg 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded), whereas Palace had BTTS 60%, scored 7 and conceded 10 (1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded), so both sides have been regularly conceding recently. Brentford at home generate xG 1.50 and average 13.67 shots with 4.0 on target, while Palace away have xG_for 1.13 with 9.56 shots; at the same time Palace concede xG 1.51 away, which nearly matches Brentford’s xG 1.50 and raises the likelihood of a Brentford goal. Palace have a higher shot conversion rate of 12% versus Brentford’s 7%, and Brentford keep a clean sheet in 39% of home matches versus 28% for Palace away, which together indicate a greater risk of Palace conceding and realistic chances for both teams to score. Summing these signals I assess BTTS at 62% for 'Yes' and 38% for 'No', therefore I tip 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model forecasts a total of approximately 2.71 goals: Brentford ~1.51 (home xG 1.50 and xG conceded by away opponents 1.51) and Crystal Palace ~1.20 (away xG 1.13 and Brentford xG against 1.26). With a total λ=2.71 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 75%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ~51%, and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) ~29%. Seasonal rates support these values: Brentford have 61% of matches Over 1.5, Crystal Palace 78%; for the 2.5 line they are 44% and 61% respectively, and for 3.5 only 22% and 17%. In the last 5 matches Brentford recorded Over 2.5 in 80% of games and Palace in 100%, which further increases the chance of 3+ goals, however the strongest signal remains Over 1.5 (75%). Considering the expected 1.51 and 1.20 goals for the teams and the percentages above, I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the most probable and strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics favor the visitors: Crystal Palace win 39% of away matches, while Brentford win only 22% at home, giving a clear advantage to the visitors in Full-Time outcomes. At Half-Time visitors lead in 33% of matches versus 28% for hosts, and the average goals by half are 0.44 for Brentford and 0.61 for Palace, so a HT lead for the visitors is common. Brentford generate more xG (1.50 vs 1.13) and more shots (13.67 vs 9.56), but have lower finishing efficiency (7% vs 12%), so their creative superiority does not necessarily translate into goals against an efficient opponent. Although a Half-Time draw occurs frequently (39%), the visitors’ higher shooting efficiency and 39% away-win rate make the strongest scenario a visitor lead at the break and a visitor win at full-time (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brentford | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Brentford · 0.4 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Brentford · 1.06 goals / match - Crystal Palace
Brentford scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
Crystal Palace scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brentford
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Brentford · 1.31 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brentford
Crystal Palace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brentford | Liga | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brentford 0 - 0 - 1 Crystal Palace. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The Premier League match finished Brentford 2:2 Crystal Palace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford score 1.44 goals per game on average and Crystal Palace 1.06. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Brentford's matches and 50% of Crystal Palace's.
What form are Brentford and Crystal Palace in?
Over the last 5 games Brentford have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Crystal Palace 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.