Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brentford played Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Gtech Community Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Brentford: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Nottingham Forest: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brentford scores 1.75 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Nottingham Forest scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brentford 75%, Nottingham Forest 50%. Over 2.5: Brentford 63%, Nottingham Forest 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Nottingham Forest has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.62. Brentford: 14.9 shots per match, Nottingham Forest: 17.1.
Match halves
Brentford: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00. Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Brentford: 31-45+ (4 goals). Nottingham Forest: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brentford sit 6th, while Nottingham Forest are 18th. In their last five matches, the hosts have picked up 8 points, compared with 4 for the visitors. At home, Brentford average 2 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match, while Forest average 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded away from home. The hosts’ advantage is reinforced by their shot conversion rate of 13% compared with their opponents’ 8%, as well as the fact that they have kept a clean sheet in half of their home matches, whereas the visitors have failed to keep one away from home. Forest can still create chances, however: their average away xG is 1.87, compared with Brentford’s 1.62 at home, which makes the prediction less certain. Even so, the goal difference and recent results point to a Brentford win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Brentford have yet to score in the analysed home matches, which is the strongest argument against BTTS - Yes. However, they have averaged 1.8 goals across their last 5 matches overall, and their home xG is 1.48, so the goalless run does not fully reflect the number of chances they are creating. Nottingham Forest concede an average of 1.75 goals away from home and have not kept a clean sheet on the road, increasing the chances of the hosts ending their drought. The visitors, meanwhile, average 1.5 goals away, while Brentford concede 0.75 goals per home match. BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of Brentford's last 5 matches and in 60% of Nottingham Forest's matches, making both teams to score marginally more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, although Brentford’s home record calls for caution: the hosts have yet to score at home, but have averaged 1.8 goals across their last 5 matches overall. Nottingham Forest average 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded away from home, and each of their away matches so far has featured at least 2 goals. The attacking potential of both teams is supported by average xG figures of 1.48 for Brentford at home and 1.87 for Forest away. The forecast of 2.80 goals points more clearly toward Over 1.5 than Over 2.5, particularly as Brentford’s home matches have all finished below 2.5 goals so far.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for a draw at half-time is Brentford’s home record: all four first halves ended 0-0. After the break, the hosts conceded an average of 0.75 goals and failed to score in any of those four matches, losing three of them. Nottingham score an average of 1.5 goals per away match, including 0.75 after the break, which points to the visitors edging a closely contested game in their favour. The visitors also have a higher average xG, 1.87 compared with Brentford’s 1.48, and average 5.25 shots on target against the hosts’ 2.25. The X/2 pick nevertheless remains cautious: across their last five matches at all venues, Brentford averaged 1.8 goals, while Nottingham averaged just 0.8, making a draw at full-time a realistic alternative too.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brentford | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Brentford · 0.8 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Brentford · 0.75 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Brentford is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Brentford · 1.25 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Brentford scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Nottingham Forest scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brentford
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Brentford · 1.13 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brentford | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Brentford 0 - 0 - 2 Nottingham Forest. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Brentford 2:0 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Nottingham Forest?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Brentford won 0, Nottingham Forest won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Brentford score 1.75 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 0.75. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Brentford's matches and 50% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Brentford and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Brentford have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.