Brest vs Lorient: match statistics
Brest, playing at home, shows solid form with a 40% win rate in home matches and an impressive average of 1.4 goals scored per game, while conceding only 1.3. A key factor is their xG advantage (1.55 vs 1.15), indicating higher quality of chances created. Despite Lorient's excellent recent run of five consecutive wins, they perform very poorly away from home – just a 20% win rate, 60% of matches without scoring, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors' away statistics (0.7 goals on average, 2.9 shots on target) are significantly worse than Brest's home stats (1.4 goals, 4.8 shots on target). Considering the hosts' advantage in ball possession (46% vs 42%), higher shot accuracy (10% vs 7%), and the fact that Lorient concedes an average of 1.5 goals away, Brest holds a clear edge to secure a victory.
Brest vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brest play Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Brest: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Lorient: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Lorient scores 1.41 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brest 47%, Lorient 53%. Over 2.5: Brest 50%, Lorient 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lorient has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.23. Brest: 11.2 shots per match, Lorient: 11.3.
Match halves
Brest: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62. Lorient: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Brest: 0-15 (9 goals). Lorient: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Brest, playing at home, shows solid form with a 40% win rate in home matches and an impressive average of 1.4 goals scored per game, while conceding only 1.3. A key factor is their xG advantage (1.55 vs 1.15), indicating higher quality of chances created. Despite Lorient's excellent recent run of five consecutive wins, they perform very poorly away from home – just a 20% win rate, 60% of matches without scoring, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors' away statistics (0.7 goals on average, 2.9 shots on target) are significantly worse than Brest's home stats (1.4 goals, 4.8 shots on target). Considering the hosts' advantage in ball possession (46% vs 42%), higher shot accuracy (10% vs 7%), and the fact that Lorient concedes an average of 1.5 goals away, Brest holds a clear edge to secure a victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brest | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lorient is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Brest · 1.4 pts / match - Lorient
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lorient is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Brest · 1.41 goals / match - Lorient
Lorient is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Brest · 1.5 goals / match - Lorient
Brest scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Lorient scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Brest
Over / Under — Lorient
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Brest · 1.59 pts / match - Lorient
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brest
Lorient
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Brest | Liga | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.83 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brest 0 - 1 - 0 Lorient. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brest vs Lorient?
The Ligue 1 match finished Brest 2:0 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brest vs Lorient?
Brest score 1.26 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.41. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Brest's matches and 53% of Lorient's.
What form are Brest and Lorient in?
Over the last 5 games Brest have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Lorient 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brest vs Lorient?
The statistical background for Brest vs Lorient — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.