Brest vs Lorient: match statistics
Brest, playing at home, shows solid form with a 40% win rate in home matches and an impressive average of 1.4 goals scored per game, while conceding only 1.3. A key factor is their xG advantage (1.55 vs 1.15), indicating higher quality of chances created. Despite Lorient's excellent recent run of five consecutive wins, they perform very poorly away from home – just a 20% win rate, 60% of matches without scoring, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors' away statistics (0.7 goals on average, 2.9 shots on target) are significantly worse than Brest's home stats (1.4 goals, 4.8 shots on target). Considering the hosts' advantage in ball possession (46% vs 42%), higher shot accuracy (10% vs 7%), and the fact that Lorient concedes an average of 1.5 goals away, Brest holds a clear edge to secure a victory.
Brest vs Lorient: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brest played Lorient in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Brest: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Lorient: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brest scores 1.30 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Lorient scores 1.35 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brest 50%, Lorient 55%. Over 2.5: Brest 60%, Lorient 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Brest: 11.8 shots per match, Lorient: 11.6.
Match halves
Brest: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.60. Lorient: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Brest: 76-90+ (6 goals). Lorient: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brest, playing at home, shows solid form with a 40% win rate in home matches and an impressive average of 1.4 goals scored per game, while conceding only 1.3. A key factor is their xG advantage (1.55 vs 1.15), indicating higher quality of chances created. Despite Lorient's excellent recent run of five consecutive wins, they perform very poorly away from home – just a 20% win rate, 60% of matches without scoring, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors' away statistics (0.7 goals on average, 2.9 shots on target) are significantly worse than Brest's home stats (1.4 goals, 4.8 shots on target). Considering the hosts' advantage in ball possession (46% vs 42%), higher shot accuracy (10% vs 7%), and the fact that Lorient concedes an average of 1.5 goals away, Brest holds a clear edge to secure a victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brest | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lorient is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Brest · 2.2 pts / match - Lorient
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lorient is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Brest · 1.55 goals / match - Lorient
Brest scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Lorient scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brest
Over / Under - Lorient
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lorient is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Brest · 1.6 pts / match - Lorient
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brest
Lorient
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Brest | Liga | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.84 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brest 0 - 1 - 0 Lorient. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brest vs Lorient?
The Ligue 1 match finished Brest 2:0 Lorient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brest vs Lorient?
Brest score 1.30 goals per game on average and Lorient 1.35. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Brest's matches and 55% of Lorient's.
What form are Brest and Lorient in?
Over the last 5 games Brest have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lorient 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brest vs Lorient?
The statistical background for Brest vs Lorient — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.