Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics
Brighton presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium. The hosts have recorded a dwdww run in their last five home matches, confirming their stability in front of their own crowd. Bournemouth, on the other hand, performs very poorly away, losing 50% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-11). The visitors concede an average of 2.9 goals per away game, which poses a serious problem given Brighton's offensive potential (averaging 1.8 goals at home). xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.68 vs 1.65), while their superior possession (52% vs 47%) and higher number of clean sheets at home (30% vs 10% for the visitors) further increase Brighton's chances. Bournemouth's weak away form (lwddllldld) combined with Brighton's strength on home soil points to a probable home victory.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brighton & Hove Albion played AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match was played on 19 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Brighton & Hove Albion: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.48 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.62 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brighton & Hove Albion 67%, AFC Bournemouth 67%. Over 2.5: Brighton & Hove Albion 52%, AFC Bournemouth 67%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.53. Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.2 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 13.8.
Match halves
Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.05. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (11 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brighton presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium. The hosts have recorded a dwdww run in their last five home matches, confirming their stability in front of their own crowd. Bournemouth, on the other hand, performs very poorly away, losing 50% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-11). The visitors concede an average of 2.9 goals per away game, which poses a serious problem given Brighton's offensive potential (averaging 1.8 goals at home). xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.68 vs 1.65), while their superior possession (52% vs 47%) and higher number of clean sheets at home (30% vs 10% for the visitors) further increase Brighton's chances. Bournemouth's weak away form (lwddllldld) combined with Brighton's strength on home soil points to a probable home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brighton & Hove Albion | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.62 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Brighton & Hove Albion is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.9 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
AFC Bournemouth scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brighton & Hove Albion
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Bournemouth is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.38 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brighton & Hove Albion
AFC Bournemouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Liga | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth?
The Premier League match finished Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth?
Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.48 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.62. The Premier League average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Brighton & Hove Albion's matches and 67% of AFC Bournemouth's.
What form are Brighton & Hove Albion and AFC Bournemouth in?
Over the last 5 games Brighton & Hove Albion have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth?
The statistical background for Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.