Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brighton & Hove Albion played Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match was played on 3 December 2025. Final score: 3:4.

Current form

Brighton & Hove Albion: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Aston Villa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.62 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.23 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brighton & Hove Albion 69%, Aston Villa 38%. Over 2.5: Brighton & Hove Albion 62%, Aston Villa 46%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Brighton & Hove Albion has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.32. Brighton & Hove Albion: 12.6 shots per match, Aston Villa: 11.5.

Match halves

Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.23. Aston Villa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (9 goals). Aston Villa: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
16Shots14
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
7Shots on target10
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.87xG1.75
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
5Corners6
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
50Dangerous attacks24
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
10Fouls9
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
2Cards2
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.62Goals scored / match1.23
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.23Goals conceded / match0.85
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
50%Average possession54%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
4.69Shots on target / match3.69
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.62Shots per match11.46
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
4.69Shots on target3.69
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
12.8%Shot conversion10.7%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
50%Possession54%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.5xG for1.32
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.31xG against1.35
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

Shooting quality

Brighton & Hove Albion: BalancedAston Villa: Balanced
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aston Villa is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 2.4 pts / match - Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
LWDWW
Season result split
46% W31% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-3
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Aston Villa
WLWWW
Season result split
54% W23% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-3
1.85 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brighton & Hove Albion is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.23 goals / match - Aston Villa

Aston Villa is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.85 goals / match - Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion scoring profile: very strong

Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

Aston Villa scoring profile: strong

Aston Villa scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

21Goals scored (season)16
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
16Goals conceded (season)11
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
2.85Average goals in match2.08
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
62%2 goals38%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
15%3 goals15%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
0%4 goals8%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
31%2 goals15%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
8%3 goals8%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
8%4 goals0%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

69%
Brighton & Hove Albion - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 13 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time15%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
23%Scored in both halves31%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
40%BTTS - last 520%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aston Villa is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.15 pts / match - Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion - half-time state
31% leading15% draw54% trailing
Aston Villa - half-time state
23% leading46% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.15
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.46
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.08Average goals (1st half)0.92
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
38%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
69%No goal before half-time62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.77Points per match (2nd half)1.62
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.23Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.15
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
54%Clean sheet after half-time69%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa
23%No goal after half-time46%
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results

46% W38% R15% P
14
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aston Villa - second-half results

38% W46% R15% P
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding235%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Brighton & Hove Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Aston Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brighton & Hove Albion
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
6
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
2
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brighton & Hove Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Brighton & Hove AlbionLigaAston Villa
Average goals in match 2.852.81 2.08
Both teams scored 69%53% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%57% 46%
Clean sheets 23%26% 38%
Goal before half-time 85%74% 69%
Goal after half-time 92%82% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Brighton & Hove AlbionGoalJan Paul van HeckeAssist: Mats Wieffer
  2. Brighton & Hove AlbionSubstitutionOn: Jack HinshelwoodOff: Stefanos Tzimas
  3. Aston VillaGoalPau Francisco Torres
  4. Brighton & Hove AlbionYellow cardBart Verbruggen
  5. Brighton & Hove AlbionSubstitutionOn: Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah WelbeckOff: Ferdi Erenay Kadıoğlu
  6. Aston VillaYellow cardJohn McGinn
  7. Aston VillaSubstitutionOn: Donyell MalenOff: John McGinn
  8. Brighton & Hove AlbionSubstitutionOn: Charalampos KostoulasOff: Brajan Gruda
  9. Aston VillaGoalDonyell Malen
  10. Brighton & Hove AlbionSubstitutionOn: Joël Ivo VeltmanOff: Carlos Balepa Noom Quomah
  11. Brighton & Hove AlbionGoalJan Paul van HeckeAssist: Jack Hinshelwood
  12. Brighton & Hove AlbionYellow cardDiego Alexander Gómez Amarilla
  13. Aston VillaYellow cardMarco Bizot

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Andrew MadleyMatches officiated: 21
3.71Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 233%Home wins19%Draws48%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

The Premier League match finished Brighton & Hove Albion 3:4 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.62 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.23. The Premier League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Brighton & Hove Albion's matches and 38% of Aston Villa's.

What form are Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Brighton & Hove Albion have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aston Villa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.