Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: match statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion holds a distinct edge in this clash. The hosts display solid home form with a 44% win rate and only an 11% loss rate at their own stadium, accompanied by a positive goal difference of +5. Burnley finds themselves in a dire situation, sitting 19th in the table with a mere 11% away win rate and a 78% loss rate, having failed to record a single clean sheet on the road. The xG statistics also favor Brighton (1.69 vs 1.06), highlighting a clear superiority in chance creation. Burnley has averaged just 0.4 points per game in their last five outings, confirming their poor form. Given all these factors, a home win is the most probable outcome.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brighton & Hove Albion played Burnley in Premier League (England). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Brighton & Hove Albion: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Burnley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.47 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.05 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brighton & Hove Albion 68%, Burnley 58%. Over 2.5: Brighton & Hove Albion 58%, Burnley 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Brighton & Hove Albion has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.08. Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.5 shots per match, Burnley: 9.2.
Match halves
Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.05. Burnley: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (11 goals). Burnley: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion holds a distinct edge in this clash. The hosts display solid home form with a 44% win rate and only an 11% loss rate at their own stadium, accompanied by a positive goal difference of +5. Burnley finds themselves in a dire situation, sitting 19th in the table with a mere 11% away win rate and a 78% loss rate, having failed to record a single clean sheet on the road. The xG statistics also favor Brighton (1.69 vs 1.06), highlighting a clear superiority in chance creation. Burnley has averaged just 0.4 points per game in their last five outings, confirming their poor form. Given all these factors, a home win is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.4 pts / match - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.05 goals / match - Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.95 goals / match - Burnley
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Burnley scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brighton & Hove Albion
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.63 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brighton & Hove Albion
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley?
Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.47 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.05. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Brighton & Hove Albion's matches and 58% of Burnley's.
What form are Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Brighton & Hove Albion have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Burnley 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.