Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool: match statistics
Brighton displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only a 20% loss rate at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +6. Liverpool, on the other hand, has an identical 40% win rate away from home, but also a 40% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -1 in away matches. Both teams have an identical average of goals scored away/home (1.47) and a similar shot conversion rate (11%). Brighton has earned 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games, while Liverpool has only managed 1.4, indicating better current form for the hosts. Considering Brighton's home advantage and Liverpool's away struggles, I expect a very evenly matched contest with a slight edge for the hosts, however, a draw seems the most likely outcome.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brighton & Hove Albion play Liverpool in Premier League (England). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Brighton & Hove Albion: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Liverpool: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.37 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Liverpool scores 1.66 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brighton & Hove Albion 55%, Liverpool 68%. Over 2.5: Brighton & Hove Albion 50%, Liverpool 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Liverpool has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.54. Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.0 shots per match, Liverpool: 15.5.
Match halves
Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.84. Liverpool: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (16 goals). Liverpool: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Brighton displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only a 20% loss rate at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +6. Liverpool, on the other hand, has an identical 40% win rate away from home, but also a 40% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -1 in away matches. Both teams have an identical average of goals scored away/home (1.47) and a similar shot conversion rate (11%). Brighton has earned 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games, while Liverpool has only managed 1.4, indicating better current form for the hosts. Considering Brighton's home advantage and Liverpool's away struggles, I expect a very evenly matched contest with a slight edge for the hosts, however, a draw seems the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1 pts / match - Liverpool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.66 goals / match - Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.39 goals / match - Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Liverpool scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Brighton & Hove Albion
Over / Under — Liverpool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liverpool is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion · 1.42 pts / match - Liverpool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Liga | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 0 - 1 Liverpool. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool?
The Premier League match finished Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Liverpool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool?
Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.37 goals per game on average and Liverpool 1.66. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Brighton & Hove Albion's matches and 68% of Liverpool's.
What form are Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool in?
Over the last 5 games Brighton & Hove Albion have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Liverpool 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool?
The statistical background for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


