Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Brisbane Roar played Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 28 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Brisbane Roar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Melbourne Victory FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Brisbane Roar scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Melbourne Victory FC scores 0.80 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Brisbane Roar 40%, Melbourne Victory FC 20%. Over 2.5: Brisbane Roar 40%, Melbourne Victory FC 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.13. Brisbane Roar: 10.6 shots per match, Melbourne Victory FC: 15.6.

Match halves

Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.40. Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (4 goals). Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

A-League: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
11Shots11
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2Shots on target6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.16xG1.49
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
8Corners3
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
45Dangerous attacks51
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
6Fouls13
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Cards4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.2Goals scored / match0.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.6Goals conceded / match2
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
44%Average possession49%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2.6Shots on target / match4.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.6Shots per match15.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
2.6Shots on target4.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
11.3%Shot conversion5.1%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
44%Possession49%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.13xG for1.63
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.19xG against1.56
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Shooting quality

Brisbane Roar: BalancedMelbourne Victory FC: Attacking
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
Accuracy (shots on target)25%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Brisbane Roar is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 0.8 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar
WLDWD
Season result split
40% W40% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Melbourne Victory FC
DLWLL
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Brisbane Roar is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 0.8 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar is 233% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 2 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar scoring profile: strong

Brisbane Roar scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Melbourne Victory FC scoring profile: more difficult

Melbourne Victory FC scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

6Goals scored (season)4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Goals conceded (season)10
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1.8Average goals in match2.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
6Goals scored (last 5)4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%2 goals40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%3 goals0%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%4 goals0%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

How often they concede at least...

40%1 goal60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%2 goals60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%3 goals40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%4 goals20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

20%
Melbourne Victory FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 5 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%Scored in both halves40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
40%BTTS - last 520%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Brisbane Roar is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.2 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing
Melbourne Victory FC - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.2Points per match (1st half)1
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
1Average goals (1st half)1.2
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
20%No goal before half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.8
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
0.8Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC
80%No goal after half-time60%
Brisbane RoarMelbourne Victory FC

Brisbane Roar - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results

20% W20% R60% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Brisbane Roar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Melbourne Victory FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Brisbane Roar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
4
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Melbourne Victory FC
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Brisbane Roar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Melbourne Victory FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.83
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).

Teams vs league

Brisbane RoarLigaMelbourne Victory FC
Average goals in match 1.802.70 2.80
Both teams scored 40%53% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%50% 40%
Clean sheets 60%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 80%70% 60%
Goal after half-time 40%73% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Brisbane RoarGoalSamuel KleinAssist: Justin Vidic
  2. Melbourne Victory FCYellow cardSebastian Esposito
  3. Brisbane RoarYellow cardJustin Vidic
  4. Melbourne Victory FCYellow cardRoderick Jefferson Gonçalves Miranda
  5. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Clarismario Santos RodriguesOff: Matthew Grimaldi
  6. Brisbane RoarYellow cardMichael Klaude Ruhs
  7. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Nikolaos VergosOff: Jing Reec
  8. Brisbane RoarSubstitutionOn: Chris LongOff: Michael Klaude Ruhs
  9. Melbourne Victory FCSubstitutionOn: Joshua RawlinsOff: Joshua Inserra
  10. Brisbane RoarSubstitutionOn: Henry HoreOff: Justin Vidic
  11. Melbourne Victory FCRed cardDenis Genreau
  12. Brisbane RoarYellow cardDean Anthony Bouzanis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Shaun EvansMatches officiated: 14
4.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins28%Draws14%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

The A-League match finished Brisbane Roar 1:0 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

Brisbane Roar score 1.20 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 0.80. The A-League average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Brisbane Roar's matches and 20% of Melbourne Victory FC's.

What form are Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory FC in?

Over the last 5 games Brisbane Roar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC?

The statistical background for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.