Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix: match statistics
Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix occupy adjacent positions in the table (9th and 10th place) with identical points tallies (6 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses), suggesting the two teams are evenly matched. The hosts are in poor form in their last five matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), however, at their own stadium they hold an advantage in xG (1.52 vs 1.23) and have better goal-scoring efficiency. Wellington Phoenix have slightly better recent form (1 win in the last 5 matches), but away from home they are highly ineffective in defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. A key factor is that the visitors have not registered a single away match without scoring a goal (FTS% 0%), which, given the hosts' weak home defense (conceding 1.3 goals on average at home), indicates a high probability of goals for both sides. Considering the even records, the hosts' poor form, and Wellington's high number of draws away from home (44%), the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brisbane Roar played Wellington Phoenix in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Brisbane Roar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Wellington Phoenix: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Wellington Phoenix scores 1.48 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brisbane Roar 52%, Wellington Phoenix 71%. Over 2.5: Brisbane Roar 48%, Wellington Phoenix 71%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Wellington Phoenix has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.40. Brisbane Roar: 13.3 shots per match, Wellington Phoenix: 12.9.
Match halves
Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (6 goals). Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix occupy adjacent positions in the table (9th and 10th place) with identical points tallies (6 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses), suggesting the two teams are evenly matched. The hosts are in poor form in their last five matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), however, at their own stadium they hold an advantage in xG (1.52 vs 1.23) and have better goal-scoring efficiency. Wellington Phoenix have slightly better recent form (1 win in the last 5 matches), but away from home they are highly ineffective in defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. A key factor is that the visitors have not registered a single away match without scoring a goal (FTS% 0%), which, given the hosts' weak home defense (conceding 1.3 goals on average at home), indicates a high probability of goals for both sides. Considering the even records, the hosts' poor form, and Wellington's high number of draws away from home (44%), the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wellington Phoenix is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wellington Phoenix is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.48 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.9 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Wellington Phoenix scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
Over / Under - Wellington Phoenix
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Brisbane Roar · 1.1 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Brisbane Roar | Liga | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 - 2 Wellington Phoenix. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
The A-League match finished Brisbane Roar 1:2 Wellington Phoenix. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Brisbane Roar won 0, Wellington Phoenix won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Wellington Phoenix 1.48. The A-League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Brisbane Roar's matches and 71% of Wellington Phoenix's.
What form are Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix in?
Over the last 5 games Brisbane Roar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Wellington Phoenix 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.