Bristol City vs Derby County: match statistics
Bristol City presents solid home form with a 47% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive +10 goal difference in home matches. The hosts record an average of 1.67 goals per home match while conceding just 1.0, confirming defensive stability with 40% clean sheets. Derby County, despite 50% away wins, shows lower scoring efficiency (1.5 goals average) and defensive vulnerability (1.14 conceded goals), reflected in a lower xG (1.05) compared to the hosts (1.51). Bristol City's advantage in possession (51% vs 38%) and higher shot conversion suggests control over the match. Recent form is level (1.4 PPG), but home advantage and better offensive efficiency give the hosts the edge, though Derby County may defend effectively and fight for a draw.
Bristol City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol City played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 0:5.
Current form
Bristol City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Derby County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol City scores 1.38 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.34 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol City 41%, Derby County 72%. Over 2.5: Bristol City 41%, Derby County 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Bristol City has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.15. Bristol City: 13.3 shots per match, Derby County: 9.8.
Match halves
Bristol City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.62. Derby County: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Bristol City: 16-30 (9 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bristol City presents solid home form with a 47% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive +10 goal difference in home matches. The hosts record an average of 1.67 goals per home match while conceding just 1.0, confirming defensive stability with 40% clean sheets. Derby County, despite 50% away wins, shows lower scoring efficiency (1.5 goals average) and defensive vulnerability (1.14 conceded goals), reflected in a lower xG (1.05) compared to the hosts (1.51). Bristol City's advantage in possession (51% vs 38%) and higher shot conversion suggests control over the match. Recent form is level (1.4 PPG), but home advantage and better offensive efficiency give the hosts the edge, though Derby County may defend effectively and fight for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol City | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derby County is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bristol City · 2 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol City is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Bristol City · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County
Bristol City scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Derby County scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol City
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol City
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Bristol City | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.60 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 58% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol City 0 - 1 - 0 Derby County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol City vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Bristol City 0:5 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol City vs Derby County?
Bristol City score 1.38 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.34. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bristol City's matches and 72% of Derby County's.
What form are Bristol City and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Derby County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol City vs Derby County?
The statistical background for Bristol City vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.