England - ChampionshipData current as of 13 September 2026

Bristol City vs Preston North End: match statistics

Bristol City crest
Bristol City
0 : 2half-time 0:1
Preston North End crest
Preston North End
145%(2.03)
X30%(3.37)
225%(3.56)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.45.91
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.-8.65%

Bristol City displays solid home form with a 46% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive goal difference of +10 in home matches. The hosts average 1.77 goals per home game with failing to score in only 23% of matches, which attests to their offensive efficiency. Despite a good position in the table, Preston North End has only a 33% win rate on the road and a lower average of goals scored (1.25) in away matches. The form of both teams in the last five games is comparable (Bristol 1.8 PPG vs Preston 1.6 PPG); however, the hosts' advantage on their own turf and a high clean sheet ratio (38%) speak in their favor. Considering Preston's tendency to draw away (42%) and the solidity of Bristol City's defense, we expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.

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Bristol City vs Preston North End: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol City played Preston North End in Championship (England). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Bristol City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Preston North End: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol City scores 1.52 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Preston North End scores 1.36 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol City 48%, Preston North End 64%. Over 2.5: Bristol City 48%, Preston North End 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol City has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.30. Bristol City: 13.8 shots per match, Preston North End: 11.1.

Match halves

Bristol City: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.64. Preston North End: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Bristol City: 16-30 (9 goals). Preston North End: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Bristol City displays solid home form with a 46% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive goal difference of +10 in home matches. The hosts average 1.77 goals per home game with failing to score in only 23% of matches, which attests to their offensive efficiency. Despite a good position in the table, Preston North End has only a 33% win rate on the road and a lower average of goals scored (1.25) in away matches. The form of both teams in the last five games is comparable (Bristol 1.8 PPG vs Preston 1.6 PPG); however, the hosts' advantage on their own turf and a high clean sheet ratio (38%) speak in their favor. Considering Preston's tendency to draw away (42%) and the solidity of Bristol City's defense, we expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Bristol CityPreston North End
11Shots12
Bristol CityPreston North End
2Shots on target3
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.17xG1.2
Bristol CityPreston North End
6Corners3
Bristol CityPreston North End
44Dangerous attacks32
Bristol CityPreston North End
11Fouls14
Bristol CityPreston North End
0Cards2
Bristol CityPreston North End

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.56Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.6
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.52Goals scored / match1.36
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.08Goals conceded / match1
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.5xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.3
Bristol CityPreston North End
47%Average possession46%
Bristol CityPreston North End
4.4Shots on target / match3.84
Bristol CityPreston North End
36%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.28%
Bristol CityPreston North End
48%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.64%
Bristol CityPreston North End

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.8Shots per match11.12
Bristol CityPreston North End
4.4Shots on target3.84
Bristol CityPreston North End
11%Shot conversion12.2%
Bristol CityPreston North End
47%Possession46%
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.5xG for1.3
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.47xG against1.43
Bristol CityPreston North End

Shooting quality

Bristol City: BalancedPreston North End: Counter-attacking
Bristol CityPreston North End
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol City is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Bristol City · 1.6 pts / match - Preston North End

Bristol City
LWWLW
Season result split
44% W24% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-8
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Preston North End
WDDLW
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-5
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bristol City is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Bristol City · 1.36 goals / match - Preston North End

Preston North End is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.08 goals / match - Bristol City · 1 goals / match - Preston North End

Bristol City scoring profile: very strong

Bristol City scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).

Preston North End scoring profile: very strong

Preston North End scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).

38Goals scored (season)34
Bristol CityPreston North End
27Goals conceded (season)25
Bristol CityPreston North End
2.6Average goals in match2.36
Bristol CityPreston North End
10Goals scored (last 5)7
Bristol CityPreston North End
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Bristol CityPreston North End
Bristol City
36%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.9 of 25 matches
24%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.6 of 25 matches
Preston North End
28%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.7 of 25 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.4 of 25 matches

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal84%
Bristol CityPreston North End
36%2 goals40%
Bristol CityPreston North End
24%3 goals12%
Bristol CityPreston North End
12%4 goals0%
Bristol CityPreston North End

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal72%
Bristol CityPreston North End
28%2 goals28%
Bristol CityPreston North End
8%3 goals0%
Bristol CityPreston North End
4%4 goals0%
Bristol CityPreston North End

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Bristol City - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 25 matches
64%
Preston North End - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 25 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time20%
Bristol CityPreston North End
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Bristol CityPreston North End
24%Scored in both halves32%
Bristol CityPreston North End

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Bristol CityPreston North End
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Bristol CityPreston North End
40%BTTS - last 560%
Bristol CityPreston North End

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

92%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.92%
Bristol CityPreston North End
68%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.76%
Bristol CityPreston North End
48%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.44%
Bristol CityPreston North End
28%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.16%
Bristol CityPreston North End
16%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.8%
Bristol CityPreston North End

Over / Under - Bristol City

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 92%Under 8%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 68%Under 32%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 48%Under 52%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 28%Under 72%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 16%Under 84%

Over / Under - Preston North End

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 92%Under 8%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 76%Under 24%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 44%Under 56%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 16%Under 84%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 8%Under 92%

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Bristol CityPreston North End
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Bristol CityPreston North End
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Bristol CityPreston North End

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Bristol CityPreston North End
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Bristol CityPreston North End
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Bristol CityPreston North End

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol City is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.72 pts / match - Bristol City · 1.4 pts / match - Preston North End

Bristol City - half-time state
48% leading28% draw24% trailing
Preston North End - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.72Points per match (1st half)1.4
Bristol CityPreston North End
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Bristol CityPreston North End
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.12
Bristol CityPreston North End
60%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Bristol CityPreston North End
44%No goal before half-time44%
Bristol CityPreston North End

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.44
Bristol CityPreston North End
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Bristol CityPreston North End
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
Bristol CityPreston North End
1.16Average goals (2nd half)1.24
Bristol CityPreston North End
56%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Bristol CityPreston North End
56%No goal after half-time40%
Bristol CityPreston North End

Bristol City - second-half results

28% W40% D32% L
43
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 44%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Preston North End - second-half results

28% W60% D12% L
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bristol City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Preston North End - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol City
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
9
7
16-30
8
3
31-45
8
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Preston North End
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
8
31-45
6
2
46-60
2
6
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Preston North End

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Bristol CityLigaPreston North End
Average goals in match• 2.602.60▼ 2.36
Both teams scored▼ 48%58%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%51%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 36%24%▲ 28%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%73%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 72%77%▼ 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Preston North EndGoalLewis Norman DobbinAssist: Jordan Thompson
  2. Preston North EndYellow cardJordan Storey
  3. Preston North EndSubstitutionOn: Pol Valentín SanchoOff: Brad Potts
  4. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Emil Ris JakobsenOff: Anis Mehmeti
  5. Preston North EndYellow cardJordan Thompson
  6. Preston North EndGoalAlfie Devine
  7. Preston North EndSubstitutionOn: Alistair McCannOff: Jordan Thompson
  8. Preston North EndSubstitutionOn: Liam LindsayOff: Odeluga Offiah
  9. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Samuel John BellOff: Sinclair Armstrong
  10. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Yu HirakawaOff: Ross McCrorie

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereePaul Tierney

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bristol City 0 - 1 - 0 Preston North End. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Preston North End FC
0 : 0
Bristol City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol City vs Preston North End?

The Championship match finished Bristol City 0:2 Preston North End. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol City vs Preston North End?

Bristol City score 1.52 goals per game on average and Preston North End 1.36. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Bristol City's matches and 64% of Preston North End's.

What form are Bristol City and Preston North End in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Preston North End 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol City vs Preston North End?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.