Bristol City vs Watford: match statistics
Bristol City shows a significant advantage as the host with a 41% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.59 goals per home match, while Watford scores just 1.06 goals away with a very poor win rate of only 19%. Watford adopts a defensive approach on the road with 44% draws, however, their form in the last five matches (1 PPG) is inferior to Bristol City (1.4 PPG). xG values are balanced for the hosts (1.44 for and against), suggesting stability, whereas Watford has a negative goal difference of -4 away. Considering the hosts' advantage, their better form, and Watford's weakness on the road, a victory for Bristol City is most likely, though a draw is also in play due to the guests' tendency to split points.
Bristol City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol City played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bristol City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Watford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol City scores 1.38 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Watford scores 1.26 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol City 44%, Watford 59%. Over 2.5: Bristol City 47%, Watford 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Watford has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.41. Bristol City: 12.8 shots per match, Watford: 14.0.
Match halves
Bristol City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.62. Watford: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Bristol City: 31-45+ (11 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bristol City shows a significant advantage as the host with a 41% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.59 goals per home match, while Watford scores just 1.06 goals away with a very poor win rate of only 19%. Watford adopts a defensive approach on the road with 44% draws, however, their form in the last five matches (1 PPG) is inferior to Bristol City (1.4 PPG). xG values are balanced for the hosts (1.44 for and against), suggesting stability, whereas Watford has a negative goal difference of -4 away. Considering the hosts' advantage, their better form, and Watford's weakness on the road, a victory for Bristol City is most likely, though a draw is also in play due to the guests' tendency to split points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bristol City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bristol City · 1 pts / match - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol City is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Bristol City · 1.26 goals / match - Watford
Watford is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Bristol City · 1.18 goals / match - Watford
Bristol City scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Watford scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol City
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Bristol City · 1.09 pts / match - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol City
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Bristol City | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.62 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol City 0 - 1 - 0 Watford. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol City vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Bristol City 1:2 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol City vs Watford?
Bristol City score 1.38 goals per game on average and Watford 1.26. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Bristol City's matches and 59% of Watford's.
What form are Bristol City and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol City vs Watford?
The statistical background for Bristol City vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.