Bristol City vs Wrexham: match statistics
The match promises to be very close. Bristol City has the home advantage with 44% win efficiency in home matches and a goal difference of +5, however, the recent form (1.4 pts/match) is slightly weaker than Wrexham (2.0 pts/match). Wrexham presents a solid away disposition with 40% win efficiency and 33% clean sheets, although their xG away (0.97) is lower than the hosts' xG (1.47). A key factor is Wrexham's high percentage of draws away (33%) and similar average goals in matches for both teams. Given the even position in the table (9th vs 8th place) and similar goal difference, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw, although the slight advantage of the hosts resulting from playing at home gives them minimally higher chances of victory.
Bristol City vs Wrexham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol City played Wrexham in Championship (England). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Bristol City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Wrexham: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol City scores 1.39 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Wrexham scores 1.42 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol City 42%, Wrexham 65%. Over 2.5: Bristol City 45%, Wrexham 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bristol City has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.32. Bristol City: 13.0 shots per match, Wrexham: 11.5.
Match halves
Bristol City: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.61. Wrexham: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Bristol City: 31-45+ (10 goals). Wrexham: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very close. Bristol City has the home advantage with 44% win efficiency in home matches and a goal difference of +5, however, the recent form (1.4 pts/match) is slightly weaker than Wrexham (2.0 pts/match). Wrexham presents a solid away disposition with 40% win efficiency and 33% clean sheets, although their xG away (0.97) is lower than the hosts' xG (1.47). A key factor is Wrexham's high percentage of draws away (33%) and similar average goals in matches for both teams. Given the even position in the table (9th vs 8th place) and similar goal difference, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw, although the slight advantage of the hosts resulting from playing at home gives them minimally higher chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol City | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol City scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Wrexham keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
Wrexham scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol City
Over / Under - Wrexham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol City is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Bristol City · 1.32 pts / match - Wrexham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wrexham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol City
Wrexham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Bristol City | Liga | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 56% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol City 0 - 0 - 1 Wrexham. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol City vs Wrexham?
The Championship match finished Bristol City 2:2 Wrexham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Bristol City score 1.39 goals per game on average and Wrexham 1.42. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Bristol City's matches and 65% of Wrexham's.
What form are Bristol City and Wrexham in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Wrexham 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bristol City vs Wrexham: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.