Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
Bristol Rovers are showing significantly better form, earning 12 points in their last 5 matches (4 wins), while Accrington Stanley have only 2 points (2 draws, 3 losses). The hosts have scored 7 goals and conceded only 3 in their last 5 games, demonstrating defensive solidity and offensive efficiency. Accrington have struggled to score away from home (0.94 goals on average per match) and have not won any of their last 5 matches. Additionally, Bristol Rovers have an advantage in ball possession (52% vs 47%) and a better xG rate in home matches (1.35 vs the visitors' 1.28 xG away from home). Considering all these factors, the hosts are the favorites for this encounter, although their weaker overall league position and high percentage of home defeats (53%) do not allow for an excessively high probability of their victory.
Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol Rovers played Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bristol Rovers: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Accrington Stanley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol Rovers scores 1.03 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Accrington Stanley scores 1.00 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol Rovers 44%, Accrington Stanley 39%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 51%, Accrington Stanley 32%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.32. Bristol Rovers: 11.7 shots per match, Accrington Stanley: 12.1.
Match halves
Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.56. Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (9 goals). Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bristol Rovers are showing significantly better form, earning 12 points in their last 5 matches (4 wins), while Accrington Stanley have only 2 points (2 draws, 3 losses). The hosts have scored 7 goals and conceded only 3 in their last 5 games, demonstrating defensive solidity and offensive efficiency. Accrington have struggled to score away from home (0.94 goals on average per match) and have not won any of their last 5 matches. Additionally, Bristol Rovers have an advantage in ball possession (52% vs 47%) and a better xG rate in home matches (1.35 vs the visitors' 1.28 xG away from home). Considering all these factors, the hosts are the favorites for this encounter, although their weaker overall league position and high percentage of home defeats (53%) do not allow for an excessively high probability of their victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data points to a lower-than-league propensity for BTTS: Bristol Rovers at 40% and Accrington at 39% versus the league average of 52%. Accrington also has a high rate of matches without scoring (FTS 44%) and a low average of away goals (0.94), which diminishes the likelihood of both teams scoring. Recent form from the last 5 fixtures further supports BTTS 'no': Accrington scores only 0.4 goals per match (2 goals in 5), while Bristol Rovers concedes a mere 0.6 goals per match (3 in 5). Expected goals metrics from the last 5 matches are also unfavorable for the visitors' scoring (xG for 1.07), against an improved home defense (xG against 1.08). With both teams sharing similar shooting efficiency (8%) and the hosts in better defensive form, the most probable scenario is a match with a goal from at most one side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goals model indicates a moderate number of goals (xG: Bristol Rovers 1.45 vs xGA Accrington 1.53 and xG Accrington 1.28 vs xGA Bristol 1.35), resulting in approximately 2.50 goals total. Seasonal profiles support lower lines: Over 2.5 occurs in only 30% of the home team's matches and 33% of the away team's, while Under 3.5 appears in as many as 75% and 89%, respectively. Additionally, BTTS is relatively low (40% and 39%), which limits high-scoring scenarios. The form from the last 5 matches lowers Accrington's scoring potential (0.4 goals/match, while Bristol's improved defense concedes 0.6 per match), favoring results like 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1. Although Bristol generates a decent number of shots and SOT (13.0 and 4.4), both teams have a low conversion rate (8%), which limits the risk of 4+ goals. Therefore, the strongest signal is Under 3.5 as the line with the highest probability of hitting.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bristol Rovers holds a quality and form advantage: a higher season PPG (1.4 vs 1.11), better xG (1.45 vs 1.28), and a superior xGA difference (1.35 vs 1.53). The key trend from the last 5 matches is crucial: the hosts score 1.4 goals and concede 0.6, while Accrington averages only 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded with a 0% win rate. In the first halves, Rovers more often take the lead (45%) and have a very high percentage of clean sheets at the break (70%), supporting the scenario of them leading at HT. At the same time, the average goals in the first half is low (AVGHT ~1.0) and BTTS HT is marginal (5% for the hosts), so the half-time lead will most often be slim. In the second halves, Accrington struggles to hold the score (low effectiveness and worse xGA), which increases the chances of the hosts maintaining their lead and seeing out the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol Rovers | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bristol Rovers is 500% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 0.4 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Accrington Stanley is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.11 goals / match - Accrington Stanley
Bristol Rovers scores in 62% of matches (24 of 39 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Accrington Stanley scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.47 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 34%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol Rovers
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Bristol Rovers | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 47% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Accrington Stanley. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?
The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 2:0 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?
Bristol Rovers score 1.03 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 39% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Bristol Rovers and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bristol Rovers vs Accrington Stanley: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.