England - EFL League TwoData current as of 23 July 2026

Bristol Rovers vs Colchester United: match statistics

125%(2.84)
X30%(3.10)
245%(2.48)

Bristol Rovers present very poor home form with only 25% won matches and a -13 goal difference. The hosts have lost 67% of their fixtures at their own stadium, failing to score in 58% of cases. Colchester United demonstrate significantly better offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.5 goals away with just 17% of matches without a goal. The visitors hold a positive goal difference (+3) in away games and 33% wins with 42% draws, proving their stability. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Colchester (1.6 points per match) compared to Bristol Rovers' mere 0.8 points. Higher shot conversion (16% vs 6%) and superior effectiveness in away matches give Colchester United a real chance of securing three points.

Bristol Rovers vs Colchester United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers play Colchester United in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Colchester United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Colchester United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 46%, Colchester United 50%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 52%, Colchester United 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Colchester United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.32. Bristol Rovers: 11.6 shots per match, Colchester United: 12.4.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Colchester United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (12 goals). Colchester United: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Bristol Rovers present very poor home form with only 25% won matches and a -13 goal difference. The hosts have lost 67% of their fixtures at their own stadium, failing to score in 58% of cases. Colchester United demonstrate significantly better offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.5 goals away with just 17% of matches without a goal. The visitors hold a positive goal difference (+3) in away games and 33% wins with 42% draws, proving their stability. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Colchester (1.6 points per match) compared to Bristol Rovers' mere 0.8 points. Higher shot conversion (16% vs 6%) and superior effectiveness in away matches give Colchester United a real chance of securing three points.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Bristol RoversColchester United
6Shots9
Bristol RoversColchester United
1Shots on target2
Bristol RoversColchester United
0.74xG1.03
Bristol RoversColchester United
4Corners5
Bristol RoversColchester United
39Dangerous attacks43
Bristol RoversColchester United
22Fouls11
Bristol RoversColchester United
4Cards2
Bristol RoversColchester United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversColchester United
1.22Goals scored / match1.35
Bristol RoversColchester United
1.41Goals conceded / match1.07
Bristol RoversColchester United
Bristol RoversColchester United
50%Average possession54%
Bristol RoversColchester United
3.3Shots on target / match4.24
Bristol RoversColchester United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.59Shots per match12.41
Bristol RoversColchester United
3.3Shots on target4.24
Bristol RoversColchester United
10.5%Shot conversion10.9%
Bristol RoversColchester United
50%Possession54%
Bristol RoversColchester United
1.32xG for1.44
Bristol RoversColchester United
1.33xG against1.34
Bristol RoversColchester United

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: BalancedColchester United: Balanced
Bristol RoversColchester United
Accuracy (shots on target)28%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.8 pts / match - Colchester United

Bristol Rovers
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W11% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-22
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-1-10
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Colchester United
WWLLW
Season result split
39% W26% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-12-16
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-6-9
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colchester United is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.35 goals / match - Colchester United

Colchester United is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.07 goals / match - Colchester United

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).

Colchester United scoring profile: strong

Colchester United scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).

56Goals scored (season)62
Bristol RoversColchester United
65Goals conceded (season)49
Bristol RoversColchester United
2.63Average goals in match2.41
Bristol RoversColchester United
13Goals scored (last 5)9
Bristol RoversColchester United
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Bristol RoversColchester United

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
Bristol RoversColchester United
37%2 goals37%
Bristol RoversColchester United
15%3 goals17%
Bristol RoversColchester United
2%4 goals9%
Bristol RoversColchester United

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
Bristol RoversColchester United
35%2 goals17%
Bristol RoversColchester United
22%3 goals9%
Bristol RoversColchester United
9%4 goals4%
Bristol RoversColchester United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Colchester United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.23 of 46 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time26%
Bristol RoversColchester United
2%BTTS in both halves4%
Bristol RoversColchester United
17%Scored in both halves20%
Bristol RoversColchester United

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Bristol RoversColchester United
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Bristol RoversColchester United
80%BTTS - last 540%
Bristol RoversColchester United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Bristol RoversColchester United
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Bristol RoversColchester United
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Bristol RoversColchester United

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Bristol RoversColchester United
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Bristol RoversColchester United
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Bristol RoversColchester United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
28% leading35% draw37% trailing
Colchester United - half-time state
22% leading57% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.22
Bristol RoversColchester United
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Bristol RoversColchester United
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Bristol RoversColchester United
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.17
Bristol RoversColchester United
52%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Bristol RoversColchester United
63%No goal before half-time59%
Bristol RoversColchester United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Bristol RoversColchester United
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Bristol RoversColchester United
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Bristol RoversColchester United
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.24
Bristol RoversColchester United
48%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Bristol RoversColchester United
52%No goal after half-time54%
Bristol RoversColchester United

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

37% W20% R43% P
55
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Colchester United - second-half results

35% W35% R30% P
56
Half-time points
31
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding177%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Colchester United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
9
9
16-30
8
9
31-45
10
8
46-60
12
10
61-75
11
21
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Colchester United
ScoredConceded
13
8
0-15
6
4
16-30
12
11
31-45
11
4
46-60
8
9
61-75
12
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Colchester United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaColchester United
Average goals in match 2.632.57 2.41
Both teams scored 46%52% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%48% 35%
Clean sheets 24%27% 24%
Goal before half-time 74%67% 61%
Goal after half-time 83%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 - 0 Colchester United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Colchester United FC
1 : 1
Bristol Rovers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Colchester United?

The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 0:1 Colchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Colchester United?

Bristol Rovers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Colchester United 1.35. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 50% of Colchester United's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Colchester United in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Colchester United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Colchester United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.