Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Bristol Rovers are in very poor form, sitting in 22nd place in the table with just 31% of home wins and a disastrous 63% of losses at their home ground. The hosts have averaged only 1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, conceding as many as 8 goals while scoring just 8. Grimsby Town are in a solid 10th position, showing much better efficiency in away matches – 40% wins and 40% draws with only 20% losses. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+2), a higher shot accuracy (11% vs 8%), and a better average of goals scored (1.4 vs 0.94). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is similar (1.2 PPG each), but Grimsby's significantly better away disposition and the critical situation of the hosts point to an away win or at least a draw.
Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol Rovers played Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Bristol Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Grimsby Town: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol Rovers scores 0.91 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.42 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol Rovers 41%, Grimsby Town 45%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 53%, Grimsby Town 42%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.29. Bristol Rovers: 11.4 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 14.3.
Match halves
Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.47. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (7 goals). Grimsby Town: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bristol Rovers are in very poor form, sitting in 22nd place in the table with just 31% of home wins and a disastrous 63% of losses at their home ground. The hosts have averaged only 1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, conceding as many as 8 goals while scoring just 8. Grimsby Town are in a solid 10th position, showing much better efficiency in away matches – 40% wins and 40% draws with only 20% losses. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+2), a higher shot accuracy (11% vs 8%), and a better average of goals scored (1.4 vs 0.94). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is similar (1.2 PPG each), but Grimsby's significantly better away disposition and the critical situation of the hosts point to an away win or at least a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol Rovers | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.8 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.42 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.1 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Bristol Rovers scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.35 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Bristol Rovers | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.57 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 1 - 0 - 0 Grimsby Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 3:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town?
Bristol Rovers score 0.91 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.42. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 45% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Bristol Rovers and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.