Bristol Rovers vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers played Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Notts County: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 0.88 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.71 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 53%, Notts County 71%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 59%, Notts County 65%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Notts County has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.23. Bristol Rovers: 11.0 shots per match, Notts County: 11.2.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47. Notts County: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 16-30 (4 goals). Notts County: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
Bristol RoversNotts County
20Shots4
Bristol RoversNotts County
5Shots on target1
Bristol RoversNotts County
2.35xG0.49
Bristol RoversNotts County
8Corners2
Bristol RoversNotts County
103Dangerous attacks22
Bristol RoversNotts County
8Fouls8
Bristol RoversNotts County
2Cards7
Bristol RoversNotts County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversNotts County
0.88Goals scored / match1.71
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.76Goals conceded / match1.18
Bristol RoversNotts County
52%Average possession58%
Bristol RoversNotts County
2.71Shots on target / match4.53
Bristol RoversNotts County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match11.18
Bristol RoversNotts County
2.71Shots on target4.53
Bristol RoversNotts County
8%Shot conversion15.3%
Bristol RoversNotts County
52%Possession58%
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.23xG for1.35
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.33xG against1.13
Bristol RoversNotts County

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: BalancedNotts County: Efficient finishing
Bristol RoversNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)25%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W12% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Notts County
DWWDL
Season result split
47% W24% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-5
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Notts County is 94% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.71 goals / match - Notts County

Notts County is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.76 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.18 goals / match - Notts County

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

15Goals scored (season)29
Bristol RoversNotts County
30Goals conceded (season)20
Bristol RoversNotts County
2.65Average goals in match2.88
Bristol RoversNotts County
2Goals scored (last 5)8
Bristol RoversNotts County
13Goals conceded (last 5)7
Bristol RoversNotts County

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal94%
Bristol RoversNotts County
18%2 goals47%
Bristol RoversNotts County
6%3 goals18%
Bristol RoversNotts County
0%4 goals12%
Bristol RoversNotts County

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal76%
Bristol RoversNotts County
47%2 goals35%
Bristol RoversNotts County
29%3 goals6%
Bristol RoversNotts County
18%4 goals0%
Bristol RoversNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time29%
Bristol RoversNotts County
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Bristol RoversNotts County
6%Scored in both halves24%
Bristol RoversNotts County

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
Bristol RoversNotts County
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Bristol RoversNotts County
40%BTTS - last 580%
Bristol RoversNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Bristol RoversNotts County
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Bristol RoversNotts County
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Bristol RoversNotts County

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Bristol RoversNotts County
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Bristol RoversNotts County
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Bristol RoversNotts County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Notts County is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.35 pts / match - Notts County

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
29% leading47% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.35
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.24
Bristol RoversNotts County
59%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Bristol RoversNotts County
65%No goal before half-time53%
Bristol RoversNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

0.71Points per match (2nd half)1.53
Bristol RoversNotts County
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)1
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Bristol RoversNotts County
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Bristol RoversNotts County
29%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Bristol RoversNotts County
65%No goal after half-time29%
Bristol RoversNotts County

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

18% W18% D65% L
21
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Notts County - second-half results

41% W29% D29% L
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.00
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.62.0
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
7
1
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaNotts County
Average goals in match 2.652.64 2.88
Both teams scored 53%56% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%49% 65%
Clean sheets 18%25% 24%
Goal before half-time 71%71% 71%
Goal after half-time 82%75% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Notts CountyYellow cardScott Robertson
  2. Notts CountyYellow cardKeanan Bennetts
  3. Bristol RoversYellow cardEllis Harrison
  4. Notts CountyRed cardTyrese Shaun Hall
  5. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Frederick IssakaOff: Macauley Southam
  6. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Joshua Mark McEachranOff: Shaqai Forde
  7. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Fabrizio cavegnOff: Stephen Negru
  8. Notts CountyYellow cardAlassana Jatta
  9. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Lucas NessOff: Nicholas Andrew Tsaroulla
  10. Notts CountyGoalMatthew DennisAssist: Kellan Sheene Gordon
  11. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Callum Damian Peter MortonOff: Ellis Harrison
  12. Notts CountyYellow cardKellan Sheene Gordon
  13. Notts CountyYellow cardOliver Norburn
  14. Bristol RoversYellow cardClinton Mola

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Edward DuckworthMatches officiated: 11
4.55Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 273%Home wins9%Draws18%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Notts County?

The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 0:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Notts County?

Bristol Rovers score 0.88 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.71. The EFL League Two average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 71% of Notts County's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Notts County 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Notts County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.