England - EFL League TwoMemorial StadiumData current as of 20 October 2026

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers play Salford City in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 20 October 2026. Venue: Memorial Stadium.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Salford City: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 1.36 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Salford City scores 1.55 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 36%, Salford City 45%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 45%, Salford City 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol Rovers has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.62. Bristol Rovers: 15.6 shots per match, Salford City: 15.0.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.73. Salford City: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.09.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 76-90+ (4 goals). Salford City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.34)
(3.35)
(2.65)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversSalford City
1.36Goals scored / match1.55
Bristol RoversSalford City
1.64Goals conceded / match1
Bristol RoversSalford City
46%Average possession58%
Bristol RoversSalford City
4.18Shots on target / match4.27
Bristol RoversSalford City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.64Shots per match15
Bristol RoversSalford City
4.18Shots on target4.27
Bristol RoversSalford City
8.7%Shot conversion10.3%
Bristol RoversSalford City
46%Possession58%
Bristol RoversSalford City
1.69xG for1.62
Bristol RoversSalford City
1.17xG against1.32
Bristol RoversSalford City

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: AttackingSalford City: Dominant
Bristol RoversSalford City
Accuracy (shots on target)27%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Salford City is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 3 pts / match - Salford City

Bristol Rovers
LWLLL
Season result split
45% W0% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-6
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Salford City
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
64% W9% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-3
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Salford City is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.55 goals / match - Salford City

Salford City is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.64 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1 goals / match - Salford City

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Salford City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Salford City scoring profile: very strong

Salford City scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

15Goals scored (season)17
Bristol RoversSalford City
18Goals conceded (season)11
Bristol RoversSalford City
3Average goals in match2.55
Bristol RoversSalford City
3Goals scored (last 5)10
Bristol RoversSalford City
10Goals conceded (last 5)2
Bristol RoversSalford City

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal82%
Bristol RoversSalford City
36%2 goals45%
Bristol RoversSalford City
9%3 goals18%
Bristol RoversSalford City
9%4 goals9%
Bristol RoversSalford City

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal64%
Bristol RoversSalford City
55%2 goals18%
Bristol RoversSalford City
45%3 goals18%
Bristol RoversSalford City
0%4 goals0%
Bristol RoversSalford City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
Bristol RoversSalford City
9%BTTS in both halves9%
Bristol RoversSalford City
27%Scored in both halves27%
Bristol RoversSalford City

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Bristol RoversSalford City
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Bristol RoversSalford City
40%BTTS - last 540%
Bristol RoversSalford City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time45%
Bristol RoversSalford City
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Bristol RoversSalford City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Bristol RoversSalford City

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Bristol RoversSalford City
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
Bristol RoversSalford City
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Bristol RoversSalford City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol Rovers is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.73 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.18 pts / match - Salford City

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
45% leading36% draw18% trailing
Salford City - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.73Points per match (1st half)1.18
Bristol RoversSalford City
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Bristol RoversSalford City
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Bristol RoversSalford City
1.09Average goals (1st half)1
Bristol RoversSalford City
73%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Bristol RoversSalford City
45%No goal before half-time73%
Bristol RoversSalford City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)2
Bristol RoversSalford City
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)1.09
Bristol RoversSalford City
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Bristol RoversSalford City
1.91Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Bristol RoversSalford City
45%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Bristol RoversSalford City
55%No goal after half-time18%
Bristol RoversSalford City

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Salford City - second-half results

55% W36% D9% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding356%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Salford City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.60
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Salford City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Salford City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaSalford City
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.48• 2.55
Both teams scored▼ 36%53%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 45%43%▲ 45%
Clean sheets▲ 36%28%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%67%▼ 45%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%77%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
0.98
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+32%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bristol Rovers 1 - 0 - 1 Salford City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Salford City FC
1 : 0
Bristol Rovers FC
Bristol Rovers FC
2 : 1
Salford City FC

FAQ

When do Bristol Rovers and Salford City play?

Bristol Rovers face Salford City on 20 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Memorial Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Salford City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1, Salford City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

Bristol Rovers score 1.36 goals per game on average and Salford City 1.55. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 45% of Salford City's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Salford City in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Salford City 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Salford City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bristol Rovers vs Salford City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.