England - EFL League TwoData current as of 13 September 2026

Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town: match statistics

150%(2.05)
X27%(3.30)
223%(3.70)

Bristol Rovers presents a clearly superior form over the last five matches, earning 2.0 points per game compared to Shrewsbury Town's 1.8 points. The hosts have won three of their last five home matches, while the visitors suffer from a very poor away streak with merely a 22% win rate and a staggering 61% defeat rate on foreign pitches. Bristol Rovers possesses an advantage in scoring efficiency (9% compared to 10%) and a better home goal difference (-7) than Shrewsbury on the road (-18). Another key factor is the higher average ball possession of the hosts (52% compared to 43%), which could translate into control over the match. Despite both teams occupying low positions in the table, the home advantage and better form in recent weeks advocate for a Bristol Rovers victory, although Shrewsbury will certainly try to exploit their counter-attacking chances.

Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers played Shrewsbury Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Shrewsbury Town: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 1.00 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Shrewsbury Town scores 1.00 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 43%, Shrewsbury Town 49%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 51%, Shrewsbury Town 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol Rovers has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.27. Bristol Rovers: 11.6 shots per match, Shrewsbury Town: 11.7.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.51. Shrewsbury Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (8 goals). Shrewsbury Town: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Bristol Rovers presents a clearly superior form over the last five matches, earning 2.0 points per game compared to Shrewsbury Town's 1.8 points. The hosts have won three of their last five home matches, while the visitors suffer from a very poor away streak with merely a 22% win rate and a staggering 61% defeat rate on foreign pitches. Bristol Rovers possesses an advantage in scoring efficiency (9% compared to 10%) and a better home goal difference (-7) than Shrewsbury on the road (-18). Another key factor is the higher average ball possession of the hosts (52% compared to 43%), which could translate into control over the match. Despite both teams occupying low positions in the table, the home advantage and better form in recent weeks advocate for a Bristol Rovers victory, although Shrewsbury will certainly try to exploit their counter-attacking chances.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
8Shots5
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
2Shots on target1
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1.1xG0.56
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
3Corners0
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
63Dangerous attacks22
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
11Fouls10
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1Cards1
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1Goals scored / match1
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1.59Goals conceded / match1.57
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
52%Average possession43%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
3.14Shots on target / match3.22
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.59Shots per match11.65
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
3.14Shots on target3.22
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
8.6%Shot conversion8.6%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
52%Possession43%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1.31xG for1.27
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1.34xG against1.45
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: BalancedShrewsbury Town: Balanced
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
Accuracy (shots on target)27%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.8 pts / match - Shrewsbury Town

Bristol Rovers
WDWWL
Season result split
30% W11% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-22
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-10
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Shrewsbury Town
WWLWL
Season result split
30% W22% D49% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-8-18
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-11
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Shrewsbury Town keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).

Shrewsbury Town scoring profile: very strong

Shrewsbury Town scores in 65% of matches (24 of 37 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 37 matches).

37Goals scored (season)37
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
59Goals conceded (season)58
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
2.59Average goals in match2.57
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal65%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
30%2 goals24%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
11%3 goals11%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
0%4 goals0%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal73%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
41%2 goals49%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
27%3 goals24%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
11%4 goals8%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time22%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
14%Scored in both halves8%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
60%BTTS - last 560%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time49%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol Rovers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 0.92 pts / match - Shrewsbury Town

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
27% leading35% draw38% trailing
Shrewsbury Town - half-time state
11% leading59% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)0.92
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
0.49Goals scored (1st half)0.41
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.08
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
49%Clean sheet before half-time51%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
62%No goal before half-time73%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per match (2nd half)1.19
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
0.51Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
1.49Average goals (2nd half)1.49
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
43%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town
65%No goal after half-time54%
Bristol RoversShrewsbury Town

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

24% W22% D54% L
43
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Shrewsbury Town - second-half results

30% W30% D41% L
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding273%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Shrewsbury Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
7
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
5
7
46-60
8
9
61-75
6
20
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.

Shrewsbury Town
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
3
7
16-30
7
9
31-45
9
6
46-60
4
10
61-75
9
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Shrewsbury Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaShrewsbury Town
Average goals in match 2.592.56 2.57
Both teams scored 43%53% 49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 51%47% 49%
Clean sheets 19%27% 27%
Goal before half-time 76%68% 54%
Goal after half-time 78%77% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bristol RoversYellow cardRiley-Jay Harbottle
  2. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Trey OgunsugiOff: Iwan Morgan
  3. Bristol RoversGoalTommy Leigh
  4. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Tommy McDermottOff: Nicholas Freeman
  5. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Kane Thompson-SommersOff: Tommy Leigh
  6. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Will GrayOff: Anthony Scully
  7. Shrewsbury TownSubstitutionOn: Malvind Singh BenningOff: Sam Stubbs
  8. Shrewsbury TownYellow cardTommy McDermott

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

David RockMatches officiated: 14
5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins36%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 1 - 0 - 0 Shrewsbury Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 1:0 Shrewsbury Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town?

Bristol Rovers score 1.00 goals per game on average and Shrewsbury Town 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 49% of Shrewsbury Town's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Shrewsbury Town in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Shrewsbury Town 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town?

The statistical background for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.