Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bristol Rovers played Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Bristol Rovers: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Swindon Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bristol Rovers scores 0.79 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.63 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bristol Rovers 47%, Swindon Town 63%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 58%, Swindon Town 68%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. Bristol Rovers: 11.4 shots per match, Swindon Town: 12.7.

Match halves

Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.42. Swindon Town: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Bristol Rovers: 16-30 (4 goals). Swindon Town: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
11Shots18
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1Shots on target7
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0.99xG1.92
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
4Corners7
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
32Dangerous attacks42
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
15Fouls7
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
3Cards2
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0.79Goals scored / match1.63
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1.84Goals conceded / match1.32
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
53%Average possession54%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
2.84Shots on target / match4.84
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.42Shots per match12.68
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
2.84Shots on target4.84
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
6.9%Shot conversion12.9%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
53%Possession54%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1.28xG for1.43
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1.34xG against1.3
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Shooting quality

Bristol Rovers: BalancedSwindon Town: Balanced
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
Accuracy (shots on target)25%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W11% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-12
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Swindon Town
WDDWL
Season result split
53% W21% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-5
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swindon Town is 106% better for: goals scored per match.

0.79 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.63 goals / match - Swindon Town

Swindon Town is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.84 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.32 goals / match - Swindon Town

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

Swindon Town scoring profile: very strong

Swindon Town scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).

15Goals scored (season)31
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
35Goals conceded (season)25
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
2.63Average goals in match2.95
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1Goals scored (last 5)7
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal79%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
16%2 goals63%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
5%3 goals21%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0%4 goals0%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal79%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
47%2 goals37%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
32%3 goals11%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
21%4 goals5%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time37%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
5%Scored in both halves32%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
20%BTTS - last 580%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Swindon Town is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.58 pts / match - Swindon Town

Bristol Rovers - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing
Swindon Town - half-time state
37% leading47% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.58
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0.37Goals scored (1st half)1
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.63
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
58%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
68%No goal before half-time37%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.63Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1.32Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.32
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
26%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town
68%No goal after half-time53%
Bristol RoversSwindon Town

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

16% W16% D68% L
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Swindon Town - second-half results

21% W63% D16% L
30
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Swindon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
2
2
16-30
8
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.99
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Bristol RoversLigaSwindon Town
Average goals in match 2.632.67 2.95
Both teams scored 47%57% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%49% 68%
Clean sheets 16%24% 21%
Goal before half-time 68%71% 79%
Goal after half-time 84%76% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Swindon TownGoalJoseph Snowdon
  2. Bristol RoversYellow cardShaqai Forde
  3. Swindon TownGoalOliver Anthony ClarkeAssist: Finley Munroe
  4. Swindon TownGoalAaron John DrinanAssist: Joseph Snowdon
  5. Swindon TownYellow cardAaron John Drinan
  6. Bristol RoversRed cardKaspar Lopata
  7. Swindon TownYellow cardAaron John Drinan
  8. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Ollie DewsburyOff: Joel Cotterill
  9. Bristol RoversSubstitutionOn: Ryan HowleyOff: Alfie George Alexander Kilgour
  10. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Jake TaborOff: James Cameron Ball

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 0:3 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Bristol Rovers score 0.79 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.63. The EFL League Two average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 63% of Swindon Town's.

What form are Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town in?

Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Swindon Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.