Bristol Rovers vs Walsall: match statistics
Walsall displays decidedly higher form and quality this season, sitting in 7th place with 14 victories, while Bristol Rovers ranks 21st with just 7 wins. The visitors' advantage in away matches is particularly telling—50% away wins and a positive goal difference (+7) contrast with the hosts' disastrous home statistics (29% wins, -11 goal difference). Bristol Rovers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and finish 57% of home games without scoring, which, given Walsall's efficiency (1.43 goals per away match, 15% shot conversion), gives the visitors a real chance for full points. Walsall also shows better defensive organization on the road (0.93 goals conceded per match vs 1.57 for the hosts at home), further supporting a win for the visiting team. Considering all statistics, a Walsall victory is the most probable scenario, though the weaker form in the last 5 matches (1.2 PPG) leaves room for a draw.
Bristol Rovers vs Walsall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol Rovers played Walsall in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 3 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bristol Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Walsall: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol Rovers scores 0.86 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Walsall scores 1.32 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol Rovers 39%, Walsall 50%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 54%, Walsall 39%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Walsall has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.27. Bristol Rovers: 11.3 shots per match, Walsall: 10.6.
Match halves
Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.43. Walsall: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Bristol Rovers: 16-30 (5 goals). Walsall: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Walsall displays decidedly higher form and quality this season, sitting in 7th place with 14 victories, while Bristol Rovers ranks 21st with just 7 wins. The visitors' advantage in away matches is particularly telling—50% away wins and a positive goal difference (+7) contrast with the hosts' disastrous home statistics (29% wins, -11 goal difference). Bristol Rovers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and finish 57% of home games without scoring, which, given Walsall's efficiency (1.43 goals per away match, 15% shot conversion), gives the visitors a real chance for full points. Walsall also shows better defensive organization on the road (0.93 goals conceded per match vs 1.57 for the hosts at home), further supporting a win for the visiting team. Considering all statistics, a Walsall victory is the most probable scenario, though the weaker form in the last 5 matches (1.2 PPG) leaves room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol Rovers | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Walsall is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.32 goals / match - Walsall
Walsall is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 0.93 goals / match - Walsall
Bristol Rovers scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Walsall keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Walsall scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
Over / Under - Walsall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Walsall is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.5 pts / match - Walsall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Walsall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol Rovers
Walsall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Bristol Rovers | Liga | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Walsall. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bristol Rovers vs Walsall?
The EFL League Two match finished Bristol Rovers 2:0 Walsall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Walsall?
Bristol Rovers score 0.86 goals per game on average and Walsall 1.32. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 50% of Walsall's.
What form are Bristol Rovers and Walsall in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Walsall 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Walsall?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.