Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 07 September 2026

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United: match statistics

120%(2.77)
X30%(3.36)
250%(2.17)

Barry Town United are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches, compared to just 0.6 for Briton Ferry. The visitors are on an impressive run of four wins and one draw in their last five fixtures, without conceding a single goal. Briton Ferry holds a mere 10% home win rate for the season and remains winless in their last ten home matches. Barry Town United display dominance across all key metrics: superior shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%), higher possession (54% vs 49%), and a vastly better goal difference. Additionally, the visitors boast a 33% away clean sheet rate, while the hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per home game. All these factors point to a clear advantage for Barry Town United in this matchup.

Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Briton Ferry played Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 31 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Briton Ferry: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Barry Town United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Briton Ferry scores 1.35 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Barry Town United scores 1.37 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Briton Ferry 60%, Barry Town United 42%. Over 2.5: Briton Ferry 60%, Barry Town United 42%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Barry Town United has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.32. Briton Ferry: 9.8 shots per match, Barry Town United: 10.7.

Match halves

Briton Ferry: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55. Barry Town United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (6 goals). Barry Town United: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Barry Town United are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches, compared to just 0.6 for Briton Ferry. The visitors are on an impressive run of four wins and one draw in their last five fixtures, without conceding a single goal. Briton Ferry holds a mere 10% home win rate for the season and remains winless in their last ten home matches. Barry Town United display dominance across all key metrics: superior shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%), higher possession (54% vs 49%), and a vastly better goal difference. Additionally, the visitors boast a 33% away clean sheet rate, while the hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per home game. All these factors point to a clear advantage for Barry Town United in this matchup.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Briton FerryBarry Town United
16Shots10
Briton FerryBarry Town United
9Shots on target3
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.95xG1.08
Briton FerryBarry Town United
6Corners4
Briton FerryBarry Town United
43Dangerous attacks32
Briton FerryBarry Town United
14Fouls8
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1Cards5
Briton FerryBarry Town United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.35Goals scored / match1.37
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.85Goals conceded / match1
Briton FerryBarry Town United
48%Average possession53%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
4.15Shots on target / match5
Briton FerryBarry Town United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.85Shots per match10.68
Briton FerryBarry Town United
4.15Shots on target5
Briton FerryBarry Town United
13.7%Shot conversion12.8%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
48%Possession53%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.32xG for1.42
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.62xG against1.2
Briton FerryBarry Town United

Shooting quality

Briton Ferry: Efficient finishingBarry Town United: Balanced
Briton FerryBarry Town United
Accuracy (shots on target)42%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barry Town United is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Briton Ferry · 2.2 pts / match - Barry Town United

Briton Ferry
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W35% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-9
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Barry Town United
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
32% W47% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-4
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barry Town United is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.85 goals / match - Briton Ferry · 1 goals / match - Barry Town United

Briton Ferry scoring profile: strong

Briton Ferry scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).

Barry Town United scoring profile: strong

Barry Town United scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).

27Goals scored (season)26
Briton FerryBarry Town United
37Goals conceded (season)19
Briton FerryBarry Town United
3.2Average goals in match2.37
Briton FerryBarry Town United
7Goals scored (last 5)10
Briton FerryBarry Town United
11Goals conceded (last 5)2
Briton FerryBarry Town United

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal63%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
45%2 goals37%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
10%3 goals21%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
5%4 goals16%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal53%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
65%2 goals26%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
20%3 goals16%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
15%4 goals5%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Barry Town United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 19 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time26%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
15%BTTS in both halves11%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
30%Scored in both halves26%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
80%BTTS - last 540%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Briton Ferry - half-time state
30% leading45% draw25% trailing
Barry Town United - half-time state
26% leading58% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.37
Briton FerryBarry Town United
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Briton FerryBarry Town United
0.85Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.11
Briton FerryBarry Town United
40%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
35%No goal before half-time53%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Briton FerryBarry Town United
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Briton FerryBarry Town United
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.26
Briton FerryBarry Town United
45%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Briton FerryBarry Town United
60%No goal after half-time58%
Briton FerryBarry Town United

Briton Ferry - second-half results

25% W35% R40% P
27
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Barry Town United - second-half results

21% W63% R16% P
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Barry Town United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
5
3
16-30
6
8
31-45
6
7
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Barry Town United
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
6
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
6
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

Barry Town United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Briton FerryLigaBarry Town United
Average goals in match 3.203.08 2.37
Both teams scored 60%51% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%57% 42%
Clean sheets 20%29% 47%
Goal before half-time 85%78% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%73% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.08
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.48
Away goals / match
+7%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Briton FerryYellow cardThomas Owen Price
  2. Briton FerryGoalThomas Walters
  3. Barry Town UnitedYellow cardKeston Davies
  4. Barry Town UnitedYellow cardCallum Sainty
  5. Barry Town UnitedYellow cardOllie Hulbert
  6. Barry Town UnitedYellow cardDaniel Barton
  7. Barry Town UnitedGoalBen Margetson
  8. Barry Town UnitedYellow cardKeston Davies
  9. Briton FerryGoalOllie Anderson
  10. Barry Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Eliot Allen RichardsOff: Daniel Barton
  11. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Rio DyerOff: Thomas Walters
  12. Barry Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Daniel SmithOff: William Stanley Richards
  13. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Kristian EvansOff: Luis Bates

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Briton Ferry 1 - 0 - 0 Barry Town United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Barry Town United FC
0 : 1
Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

FAQ

What was the result of Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Briton Ferry 2:1 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United?

Briton Ferry score 1.35 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.37. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Briton Ferry's matches and 42% of Barry Town United's.

What form are Briton Ferry and Barry Town United in?

Over the last 5 games Briton Ferry have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Barry Town United 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Briton Ferry vs Barry Town United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.