Briton Ferry vs Llanelli Town: match statistics
Briton Ferry decisively outperforms Llanelli Town in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have secured 1.6 points per game in their last five matches and are currently on a two-game winning streak, whereas the visitors have lost all of their last five fixtures without earning a single point. Llanelli Town holds a catastrophic away record with 91% losses, conceding an average of 3.27 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Briton Ferry, despite average home form, possesses a significantly better goal difference and finishing efficiency, which against such a weak rival should translate into a comfortable victory. The difference in expected goals (xG) and a decisive advantage in possession further support predictions in favor of the hosts.
Briton Ferry vs Llanelli Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Briton Ferry played Llanelli Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Briton Ferry: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Llanelli Town: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Briton Ferry scores 1.45 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Llanelli Town scores 0.55 and concedes 2.68. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Briton Ferry 64%, Llanelli Town 41%. Over 2.5: Briton Ferry 64%, Llanelli Town 64%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Briton Ferry has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.17. Briton Ferry: 10.1 shots per match, Llanelli Town: 8.7.
Match halves
Briton Ferry: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.55. Llanelli Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.14.
Goals by minute
Briton Ferry: 0-15 (7 goals). Llanelli Town: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Briton Ferry decisively outperforms Llanelli Town in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have secured 1.6 points per game in their last five matches and are currently on a two-game winning streak, whereas the visitors have lost all of their last five fixtures without earning a single point. Llanelli Town holds a catastrophic away record with 91% losses, conceding an average of 3.27 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet. Briton Ferry, despite average home form, possesses a significantly better goal difference and finishing efficiency, which against such a weak rival should translate into a comfortable victory. The difference in expected goals (xG) and a decisive advantage in possession further support predictions in favor of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Briton Ferry | Llanelli Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Briton Ferry is 164% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Briton Ferry · 0.55 goals / match - Llanelli Town
Briton Ferry is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Briton Ferry · 2.68 goals / match - Llanelli Town
Briton Ferry scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
Llanelli Town scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Briton Ferry
Over / Under - Llanelli Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Briton Ferry is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Briton Ferry · 0.73 pts / match - Llanelli Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Briton Ferry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Llanelli Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Briton Ferry
Llanelli Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Briton Ferry | Liga | Llanelli Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Briton Ferry 1 - 0 - 1 Llanelli Town. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Briton Ferry vs Llanelli Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Briton Ferry 3:1 Llanelli Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Briton Ferry and Llanelli Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Briton Ferry won 1, Llanelli Town won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Briton Ferry vs Llanelli Town?
Briton Ferry score 1.45 goals per game on average and Llanelli Town 0.55. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Briton Ferry's matches and 41% of Llanelli Town's.
What form are Briton Ferry and Llanelli Town in?
Over the last 5 games Briton Ferry have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Llanelli Town 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Briton Ferry vs Llanelli Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.