Bromley vs Notts County: match statistics
Bromley sits atop the table and boasts impressive home form with a 64% win rate and just 0% defeats at their own ground. The hosts score an average of 2.14 goals per match at home, while conceding only 1.14, giving them a solid advantage. Notts County, despite an excellent run of five consecutive wins, is significantly weaker away from home - averaging 1.29 goals scored and only a 50% win rate in away matches. Bromley hasn't lost any of their last five home games, and their home form sequence (wdwdddwwwwwwwd) indicates stability. The higher shot accuracy of the hosts (15% vs 13%) and their advantage in expected goals at home (1.69 xG) point to a Bromley victory, though the visitors' excellent form means a draw cannot be ruled out.
Bromley vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bromley played Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bromley: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Notts County: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bromley scores 1.80 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.53 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bromley 60%, Notts County 60%. Over 2.5: Bromley 60%, Notts County 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Bromley has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.30. Bromley: 13.4 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.
Match halves
Bromley: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.07. Notts County: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Bromley: 76-90+ (12 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bromley sits atop the table and boasts impressive home form with a 64% win rate and just 0% defeats at their own ground. The hosts score an average of 2.14 goals per match at home, while conceding only 1.14, giving them a solid advantage. Notts County, despite an excellent run of five consecutive wins, is significantly weaker away from home - averaging 1.29 goals scored and only a 50% win rate in away matches. Bromley hasn't lost any of their last five home games, and their home form sequence (wdwdddwwwwwwwd) indicates stability. The higher shot accuracy of the hosts (15% vs 13%) and their advantage in expected goals at home (1.69 xG) point to a Bromley victory, though the visitors' excellent form means a draw cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bromley | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 36% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Bromley · 3 pts / match - Notts County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bromley is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Bromley · 1.53 goals / match - Notts County
Notts County is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Bromley · 1 goals / match - Notts County
Bromley scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Notts County scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Bromley keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bromley
Over / Under - Notts County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bromley is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Bromley · 1.47 pts / match - Notts County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bromley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bromley
Notts County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Bromley | Liga | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.60 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bromley 0 - 1 - 0 Notts County. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bromley vs Notts County?
The EFL League Two match finished Bromley 1:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bromley vs Notts County?
Bromley score 1.80 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.53. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bromley's matches and 60% of Notts County's.
What form are Bromley and Notts County in?
Over the last 5 games Bromley have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Notts County 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bromley vs Notts County?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bromley vs Notts County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.