Brooklyn FC vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics
Brooklyn FC vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Brooklyn FC played Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Brooklyn FC: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sacramento Republic: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Brooklyn FC scores 0.83 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Sacramento Republic scores 1.17 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Brooklyn FC 17%, Sacramento Republic 50%. Over 2.5: Brooklyn FC 67%, Sacramento Republic 17%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Brooklyn FC has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.29. Brooklyn FC: 12.0 shots per match, Sacramento Republic: 10.0.
Match halves
Brooklyn FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Brooklyn FC: 61-75 (2 goals). Sacramento Republic: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brooklyn FC has a clear advantage in chance creation at home: average xG 1.7 and 13.75 shots per match (6.25 on target) versus Sacramento’s xG 0.87, 8 shots and only 2 on target away. This translates into efficiency — hosts average 1.25 goals at home, guests only 0.5, with Sacramento failing to score in 50% of away matches while Brooklyn is shut out in 25%. However, form over the last 5 matches favors Sacramento: record 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded and 1.6 points per game, whereas Brooklyn has 1 win and 4 losses, 4:9 and 0.6 points per game. Defensively both teams are relatively compact on their own grounds (Brooklyn concedes 0.75 goals at home, Sacramento 0.5 away), but the higher home xG (1.7 vs 0.87) and superiority in total and on-target shots give Brooklyn the decisive edge. On that basis I tip the home win (1), with moderate risk of a draw due to Sacramento’s resilience away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - No with a 53% probability versus 47% for BTTS - Yes. Sacramento has scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches (1.6 avg) and conceded 3 (0.6 avg), while Brooklyn has scored 4 (0.8) and conceded 9 (1.8), suggesting a higher chance that only the visitors will score. xG analysis yields moderate goal expectations: average xG for Brooklyn is ~1.21 (its xG 1.5 vs Sacramento defensive xG 0.92), and for Sacramento ~1.09 (0.87 vs 1.31), which nominally implies scoring probabilities around 70% and 66%, but Brooklyn’s last 5 matches show mean xG 1.51 with only 4 goals, indicating poor finishing. Brooklyn generates more chances (11 shots and 4 on target vs 8 and 2 for Sacramento) and has a higher season conversion rate 14% vs 6%, yet both have a season clean sheet rate of 50% and Sacramento’s recent defensive stability (3 conceded in 5 matches) tilts the balance toward the No scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Brooklyn has a season xG of 1.50 and averages 1.50 goals per game; Sacramento has an xG of 0.87 and 0.50 goals. Accounting for opponent defense (Sacramento concedes 0.92 xG, Brooklyn 1.31) yields an expected ≈1.21 goals for the home side and ≈1.09 for the visitors, about 2.30 goals total. Brooklyn averages 11 shots per game with 4 on target and a 14% conversion rate, while Sacramento averages 8 shots with 2 on target and a 6% conversion — this supports home side scoring potential. Seasonally Brooklyn has 100% of home matches Over 1.5 goals, Sacramento 50%. However, in the last 5 matches Brooklyn has averaged only 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Sacramento’s recent form is 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded, which evens things and reduces confidence in Over 2.5 (season Over 2.5: Brooklyn 25%, Sacramento 0%). Overall the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I estimate ~67%), Over 2.5 is moderate (~40%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (~20%) given both teams have 0% season matches over 3.5 and the projected total of 2.30 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistically the home side has a clear advantage in creating and converting chances: average xG for the home team is 1.5 with 1.5 goals scored per match, while the away team posts an xG of 0.87 and only 0.5 goals per match. At Half-Time the most frequent state is a draw — home teams were level at the break in 50% of matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 50%), and away teams were level at Half-Time in 100% of their fixtures (drawingAtHTPercentage_away 100%). After the break the home side accelerates significantly: on average 1.25 goals in the second half and 75% of matches with at least one goal after Half-Time (AVG_2hg_home 1.25, over05_2hg_percentage_home 75%), which increases the likelihood of scoring the winning goal post-break. Additionally, homes average 4 shots on target from 11 total shots versus the visitors’ 2 on target from 8 shots and show higher efficiency (shotsOnTargetAVG_home 4.0, shotsAVG_home 11.0, shot_conversion_rate_home 14.0% vs shotsOnTargetAVG_away 2.0, shotsAVG_away 8.0, shot_conversion_rate_away 6.0%). In light of these figures the most probable and strongest signal is a draw at Half-Time and a home victory at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Brooklyn FC | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sacramento Republic is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Brooklyn FC · 1.2 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sacramento Republic is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Brooklyn FC · 1.17 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Brooklyn FC · 0.67 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Brooklyn FC scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Sacramento Republic scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Brooklyn FC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Brooklyn FC
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brooklyn FC is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Brooklyn FC · 1.17 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Brooklyn FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Brooklyn FC
Sacramento Republic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Brooklyn FC | Liga | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.55 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Brooklyn FC vs Sacramento Republic?
The USL Championship match finished Brooklyn FC 1:1 Sacramento Republic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Brooklyn FC vs Sacramento Republic?
Brooklyn FC score 0.83 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.17. The USL Championship average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Brooklyn FC's matches and 50% of Sacramento Republic's.
What form are Brooklyn FC and Sacramento Republic in?
Over the last 5 games Brooklyn FC have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Brooklyn FC vs Sacramento Republic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.