BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik: match statistics
BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BSK Banja Luka played Čelik in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Cair. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
BSK Banja Luka: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Čelik: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
BSK Banja Luka scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Čelik scores 1.00 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BSK Banja Luka 40%, Čelik 40%. Over 2.5: BSK Banja Luka 40%, Čelik 60%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Čelik has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.02. BSK Banja Luka: 9.0 shots per match, Čelik: 12.0.
Match halves
BSK Banja Luka: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Čelik: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
BSK Banja Luka: 61-75 (3 goals). Čelik: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BSK Banja Luka has significantly better home numbers: they average 1.0 goals scored and concede just 0.5, while Čelik scores 0.5 goals away from home and allows opponents to score 2.0. The hosts create more chances, averaging 13 shots and an xG of 1.54, compared with 10 shots and an xG of 1.08 for the visitors. Čelik’s away defence has yet to keep a clean sheet, and the team has lost both of its away matches so far. BSK is also on a poor run, with four defeats in their last five matches and a 4:7 goal difference, but home advantage and the higher quality of chances created support a narrow home win. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams have failed to score in 50% of their respective home and away matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, primarily due to Čelik’s limited attacking efficiency: the visitors score an average of just 0.5 goals per match, and they failed to score in 50% of their league fixtures. BSK Banja Luka keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while their last five outings saw opponents score an average of 1.4 goals, although the xG against them was only 1.15. The hosts should create more chances, as they average 15 shots compared with Čelik’s 10 and have a higher finishing efficiency, 13% versus the visitors’ 5%. Recent form does not support the both-teams-to-score scenario: BTTS occurred in 40% of BSK’s last five matches, while the league-wide average is just 44%. Although Čelik have recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five games, their poor away scoring average and the hosts’ more solid defence increase the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
BSK Banja Luka create chances worth an average of 1.57 xG at home, while Čelik allow opponents 1.61 xG away from home. However, the hosts’ current form is clearly weaker: they have scored just 0.8 goals per game over their last 5 matches. Čelik average only 0.5 goals away from home, and their xG over their last five appearances was 1.06, compared with the 1.15 xG allowed by BSK during that period. The league average is just 2.33 goals, while 67% of matches finish with at least one team failing to score, which limits the risk of an open, high-scoring game. In the available data for both teams, more than 3 goals have never been scored, so with a projected total of 2.28 goals, the safest choice is Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
BSK Banja Luka have a clearly stronger home profile: they score an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Čelik concede 2.0 goals away from home and have lost 100% of their matches. The hosts led at the break in 50% of their home games, whereas Čelik have never gone into half-time with the lead; additionally, BSK score an average of 1.0 goal before the break, compared with the 1.0 goal conceded by the visitors. BSK’s advantage is also supported by the quality of chances, with their average xG standing at 1.57 versus Čelik’s 1.08, while the hosts average 15 shots compared with 10 for their opponents. Caution is warranted due to BSK’s weaker recent run, with only 0.8 goals scored and a 20% win rate across their last five matches, but Čelik’s extremely poor away record still provides the strongest support for the scenario of the hosts leading at half-time and securing the final victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BSK Banja Luka | Čelik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Čelik is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - BSK Banja Luka · 0.8 pts / match - Čelik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Čelik is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - BSK Banja Luka · 1 goals / match - Čelik
Čelik is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - BSK Banja Luka · 1.2 goals / match - Čelik
BSK Banja Luka scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Čelik scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while BSK Banja Luka keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BSK Banja Luka
Over / Under - Čelik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BSK Banja Luka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Čelik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BSK Banja Luka
Čelik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| BSK Banja Luka | Liga | Čelik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.20 | 2.30 | • 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BSK Banja LukaYellow cardMarko Bundalo
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished BSK Banja Luka 3:2 Čelik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik?
BSK Banja Luka score 0.80 goals per game on average and Čelik 1.00. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 40% of BSK Banja Luka's matches and 40% of Čelik's.
What form are BSK Banja Luka and Čelik in?
Over the last 5 games BSK Banja Luka have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Čelik 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.