Budafoki MTE vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: match statistics
Budafoki MTE vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Budafoki MTE played Mezőkövesd-Zsóry in NB II (Hungary). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Budafoki MTE: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Budafoki MTE scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry scores 1.33 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Budafoki MTE 42%, Mezőkövesd-Zsóry 38%. Over 2.5: Budafoki MTE 46%, Mezőkövesd-Zsóry 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Budafoki MTE has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.33. Budafoki MTE: 10.7 shots per match, Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: 9.8.
Match halves
Budafoki MTE: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67. Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Budafoki MTE: 76-90+ (7 goals). Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry are the clear favorites: they sit 4th in the table versus Budafoki MTE in 15th, and in the last 5 matches the visitors averaged 1.4 points per game compared to 0.2 for the hosts. Offensively the visitors are more efficient — away they score 1.77 goals on average with 4.08 shots on target and a 16% conversion rate, while Budafoki at home average 1.08 goals, 3.5 shots on target and a 10% conversion. In xG both teams generate almost identical values (Budafoki 1.37 xG at home vs Mezőkövesd 1.35 xG away), but Mezőkövesd converts chances better and are less likely to be held scoreless (15% of matches without a goal vs 33% for the hosts). Defensively the hosts are more vulnerable: they have conceded 40 goals on the season (1.33 per home match) and conceded 10 in the last 5 (2.0 per match), while the visitors have conceded 27 seasonally and only 5 in the last 5 (1.0 per match). Considering league position, superior shot efficiency and better recent points numbers, I predict an away win: approximately 60% for Mezőkövesd, 28% draw, 12% for Budafoki.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS. Budafoki as home side has a season BTTS rate of only 9% and keeps a clean sheet in 64% of matches with an average of 0.73 goals conceded per game, which strongly supports the opponent failing to score. Mezőkövesd shows a seasonally decent offense (1.77 goals per game) and 62% BTTS, but in the last 5 matches the visitors scored only 3 goals (0.6 per game) and had a 20% BTTS, so current scoring form is weaker. xG indicates moderate chances for both (home xG 1.30 vs away xG 1.35, with xG against the visitors 1.80) and a clear difference in finishing efficiency (conversion rate 9% for the home side vs 16% for the visitors), which explains why the higher home xG does not translate into many goals. Overall, Budafoki’s seasonal metrics (9% BTTS and 64% CS) outweigh the counterarguments, hence the 'No' selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and finishing efficiency I estimate expected goals at about 0.98 for Budafoki and 1.72 for Mezőkövesd, total ≈2.70 goals. Raw xG gives 1.55 for the home side (1.30 home xG + 1.80 xG against the visitors) and 1.31 for the visitors (1.35 + 1.27)/2, but Budafoki actually scores 0.82 on average with xG 1.30 (conversion factor 0.63), while Mezőkövesd scores 1.77 with xG 1.35 (conversion factor 1.31), hence the adjustment. Seasonal stats show a strong signal for Over 1.5: away matches exceed 1.5 in 85% of cases, home matches in 55%, which favors Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is mixed (Budafoki only 9% of matches >2.5 vs Mezőkövesd 62%), but the calculated combined xG≈2.70 and the visitors’ higher conversion (16% vs 9%) give a moderate edge to Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is unlikely (home 0% seasonally, visitors 23%), therefore the strongest recommendation is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Forecast: draw at Half-Time and away win at Full-Time (X/2) — this is the strongest signal from the data. Home teams draw at the break in 45% of matches, while away teams lead at the break in 38%, indicating the first half more often ends in a draw or with a narrow away lead. After the break the away side dominates: they score on average 1.00 goals in the second half versus 0.36 for the hosts, and 85% of their matches feature at least one second-half goal. Both teams generate similar xG: 1.30 (home) vs 1.35 (away), but the away team has higher finishing efficiency (conversion 16% vs 9%), which, given comparable xG, gives them an advantage in turning chances into goals. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the home team has a 0% win rate versus 40% for the away team, and the hosts keep a clean sheet at Half-Time in 73% of matches, so the most likely scenario is X/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Budafoki MTE | Mezőkövesd-Zsóry | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Budafoki MTE · 1.4 pts / match - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Budafoki MTE · 1.33 goals / match - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Budafoki MTE · 1.13 goals / match - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
Budafoki MTE scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Mezőkövesd-Zsóry keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Budafoki MTE keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Budafoki MTE
Over / Under - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Budafoki MTE · 1.38 pts / match - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Budafoki MTE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Budafoki MTE
Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Budafoki MTE | Liga | Mezőkövesd-Zsóry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.52 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Budafoki MTE 0 - 0 - 1 Mezőkövesd-Zsóry. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Budafoki MTE vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry?
The NB II match finished Budafoki MTE 0:2 Mezőkövesd-Zsóry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Budafoki MTE vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry?
Budafoki MTE score 1.00 goals per game on average and Mezőkövesd-Zsóry 1.33. The NB II average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Budafoki MTE's matches and 38% of Mezőkövesd-Zsóry's.
What form are Budafoki MTE and Mezőkövesd-Zsóry in?
Over the last 5 games Budafoki MTE have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mezőkövesd-Zsóry 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Budafoki MTE vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry?
The statistical background for Budafoki MTE vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


