Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade KicukiroData current as of 03 November 2026

Bugesera vs Amagaju: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Bugesera vs Amagaju: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera play Amagaju in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 4 November 2026. Venue: Stade Kicukiro.

Current form

Bugesera: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Amagaju: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Amagaju scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14. League average: 1.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 0%, Amagaju 43%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 0%, Amagaju 57%. League level: BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 24%.

xG, shots and style

Amagaju has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.41. Bugesera: 10.0 shots per match, Amagaju: 10.4.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Amagaju: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 46-60 (2 goals). Amagaju: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 24%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.29
BugeseraAmagaju
0.5Goals conceded / match1.14
BugeseraAmagaju
55%Average possession48%
BugeseraAmagaju
3.5Shots on target / match3.29
BugeseraAmagaju

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match10.43
BugeseraAmagaju
3.5Shots on target3.29
BugeseraAmagaju
10%Shot conversion12.3%
BugeseraAmagaju
55%Possession48%
BugeseraAmagaju
1.41xG for1.57
BugeseraAmagaju
1.42xG against1.33
BugeseraAmagaju

Shooting quality

Bugesera: BalancedAmagaju: Balanced
BugeseraAmagaju
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bugesera is 88% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / match - Bugesera · 0.8 pts / match - Amagaju

Bugesera
LWWL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Amagaju
DLWLL
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Amagaju is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.29 goals / match - Amagaju

Bugesera is 128% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.14 goals / match - Amagaju

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Amagaju keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Amagaju scoring profile: mixed

Amagaju scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

4Goals scored (season)9
BugeseraAmagaju
2Goals conceded (season)8
BugeseraAmagaju
1.5Average goals in match2.43
BugeseraAmagaju
4Goals scored (last 5)7
BugeseraAmagaju
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
BugeseraAmagaju

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal71%
BugeseraAmagaju
50%2 goals29%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%3 goals14%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%4 goals14%
BugeseraAmagaju

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal57%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%2 goals43%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%3 goals14%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraAmagaju

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraAmagaju
25%Scored in both halves0%
BugeseraAmagaju

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraAmagaju

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BugeseraAmagaju

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
BugeseraAmagaju
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
BugeseraAmagaju

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Bugesera · 0.71 pts / match - Amagaju

Bugesera - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Amagaju - half-time state
0% leading71% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)0.71
BugeseraAmagaju
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.29
BugeseraAmagaju
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
BugeseraAmagaju
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.86
BugeseraAmagaju
75%Clean sheet before half-time43%
BugeseraAmagaju
75%No goal before half-time71%
BugeseraAmagaju

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.29
BugeseraAmagaju
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1
BugeseraAmagaju
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
BugeseraAmagaju
1Average goals (2nd half)1.57
BugeseraAmagaju
75%Clean sheet after half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju
50%No goal after half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju

Bugesera - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Amagaju - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.75
Goals scored / match0.30.8
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match0.51.0
1 goal50%75%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%75%
No goal75%50%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Amagaju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Amagaju
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
22%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Amagaju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaAmagaju
Average goals in match▼ 1.501.82▲ 2.43
Both teams scored▼ 0%29%▲ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%24%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▲ 50%43%• 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%61%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%65%▲ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.82
Average goals per match
29%
Both teams scored
24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
43%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.80
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bugesera 0 - 2 - 0 Amagaju. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Bugesera
0 : 0
Amagaju
Amagaju
0 : 0
Bugesera

FAQ

When do Bugesera and Amagaju play?

Bugesera face Amagaju on 4 November 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Kicukiro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bugesera and Amagaju?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 0, Amagaju won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Amagaju?

Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Amagaju 1.29. The National Soccer League average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 24% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Bugesera's matches and 43% of Amagaju's.

What form are Bugesera and Amagaju in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Amagaju 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Amagaju?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.