Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports: match statistics
Kiyovu Sports displays significantly better away form with 56% wins and an impressive goal difference (+7) in matches on the road. The hosts, Bugesera, occupy only 10th place in the table and win just 42% of their home encounters, conceding nearly a goal per game on average. A significant advantage for the visitors lies in possession (53% vs 48%) and higher shots on target efficiency (3.38 vs 2.0). Kiyovu Sports also boasts a superior xG record (1.15 vs 0.89), indicating better chance creation. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for hosts vs 1.4 PPG for visitors) is balanced, but Kiyovu's solid defense (44% clean sheets away) could prove pivotal. Considering all statistical parameters, the visitors are the favorites for this match, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Kiyovu's tendency to split points (22% draws away).
Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bugesera played Kiyovu Sports in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Bugesera: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kiyovu Sports: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bugesera scores 0.95 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Kiyovu Sports scores 1.00 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bugesera 52%, Kiyovu Sports 29%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 48%, Kiyovu Sports 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Kiyovu Sports has higher xG: 1.29 vs 0.95. Bugesera: 5.5 shots per match, Kiyovu Sports: 7.0.
Match halves
Bugesera: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.62. Kiyovu Sports: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Bugesera: 61-75 (5 goals). Kiyovu Sports: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kiyovu Sports displays significantly better away form with 56% wins and an impressive goal difference (+7) in matches on the road. The hosts, Bugesera, occupy only 10th place in the table and win just 42% of their home encounters, conceding nearly a goal per game on average. A significant advantage for the visitors lies in possession (53% vs 48%) and higher shots on target efficiency (3.38 vs 2.0). Kiyovu Sports also boasts a superior xG record (1.15 vs 0.89), indicating better chance creation. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for hosts vs 1.4 PPG for visitors) is balanced, but Kiyovu's solid defense (44% clean sheets away) could prove pivotal. Considering all statistical parameters, the visitors are the favorites for this match, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Kiyovu's tendency to split points (22% draws away).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | Kiyovu Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bugesera is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / match - Kiyovu Sports
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kiyovu Sports is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Bugesera · 1 goals / match - Kiyovu Sports
Kiyovu Sports is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.57 goals / match - Kiyovu Sports
Bugesera scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Kiyovu Sports keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Kiyovu Sports scores in 48% of matches (10 of 21 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - Kiyovu Sports
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kiyovu Sports is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.19 pts / match - Kiyovu Sports
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kiyovu Sports - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bugesera
Kiyovu Sports
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | Kiyovu Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 63% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 1 - 0 Kiyovu Sports. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:1 Kiyovu Sports. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports?
Bugesera score 0.95 goals per game on average and Kiyovu Sports 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Bugesera's matches and 29% of Kiyovu Sports's.
What form are Bugesera and Kiyovu Sports in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kiyovu Sports 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.