Bugesera vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera played Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mukura: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 0.70 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Mukura scores 0.78 and concedes 0.89. League average: 1.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 40%, Mukura 44%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 30%, Mukura 11%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 25%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Bugesera: 4.4 shots per match, Mukura: 4.4.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.50. Mukura: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 46-60 (2 goals). Mukura: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 25%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
BugeseraMukura
11Shots14
BugeseraMukura
4Shots on target5
BugeseraMukura
1.26xG1.67
BugeseraMukura
1Corners9
BugeseraMukura
39Dangerous attacks60
BugeseraMukura
15Fouls13
BugeseraMukura
0Cards0
BugeseraMukura

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.7Goals scored / match0.78
BugeseraMukura
0.9Goals conceded / match0.89
BugeseraMukura
41%Average possession41%
BugeseraMukura
1.6Shots on target / match0.89
BugeseraMukura

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.4Shots per match4.44
BugeseraMukura
1.6Shots on target0.89
BugeseraMukura
15.9%Shot conversion17.5%
BugeseraMukura
41%Possession41%
BugeseraMukura
0.88xG for0.88
BugeseraMukura
1.01xG against0.81
BugeseraMukura

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingMukura: Counter-attacking
BugeseraMukura
Accuracy (shots on target)36%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.88

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mukura is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1 pts / match - Mukura

Bugesera
LDLWL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mukura
WDLLD
Season result split
22% W44% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mukura is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.7 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.78 goals / match - Mukura

Bugesera scoring profile: strong

Bugesera scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

Mukura scoring profile: mixed

Mukura scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).

7Goals scored (season)7
BugeseraMukura
9Goals conceded (season)8
BugeseraMukura
1.6Average goals in match1.67
BugeseraMukura
5Goals scored (last 5)5
BugeseraMukura
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
BugeseraMukura

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal67%
BugeseraMukura
10%2 goals11%
BugeseraMukura
0%3 goals0%
BugeseraMukura
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraMukura

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal67%
BugeseraMukura
30%2 goals22%
BugeseraMukura
10%3 goals0%
BugeseraMukura
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraMukura

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time11%
BugeseraMukura
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraMukura
10%Scored in both halves11%
BugeseraMukura

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS11%
BugeseraMukura
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BugeseraMukura
60%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraMukura

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BugeseraMukura
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
BugeseraMukura
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BugeseraMukura

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
BugeseraMukura
10%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
BugeseraMukura
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BugeseraMukura

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mukura is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.33 pts / match - Mukura

Bugesera - half-time state
10% leading50% draw40% trailing
Mukura - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per match (1st half)1.33
BugeseraMukura
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.44
BugeseraMukura
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
BugeseraMukura
1Average goals (1st half)0.89
BugeseraMukura
60%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BugeseraMukura
80%No goal before half-time56%
BugeseraMukura

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)1.22
BugeseraMukura
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
BugeseraMukura
0.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
BugeseraMukura
0.6Average goals (2nd half)0.78
BugeseraMukura
90%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BugeseraMukura
50%No goal after half-time67%
BugeseraMukura

Bugesera - second-half results

40% W60% R0% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mukura - second-half results

22% W56% R22% P
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.0
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-6+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mukura - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
4
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mukura
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Mukura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaMukura
Average goals in match 1.601.80 1.67
Both teams scored 40%39% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 30%25% 11%
Clean sheets 50%38% 33%
Goal before half-time 50%53% 67%
Goal after half-time 50%69% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.86
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
53%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
1%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Mukura?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 0:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Mukura?

Bugesera score 0.70 goals per game on average and Mukura 0.78. The National Soccer League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Bugesera's matches and 44% of Mukura's.

What form are Bugesera and Mukura in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mukura 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Mukura?

The statistical background for Bugesera vs Mukura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.