Bugesera vs Musanze: match statistics
Bugesera displays solid form at home with a 50% win rate in home matches and an impressive 40% clean sheet record. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 games and averaging 2 points per match during this period. Musanze struggles in away fixtures, losing as many as 44% of their matches and failing to score in 44% of cases, which represents a significant weakness. Although the visitors have a better seasonal goal difference (28 goals), their away form (33% wins) and lower xG stats (0.97) compared to xG Against (1.62) suggest difficulties away from home. Considering the hosts' home advantage and Musanze's weaker away performances, Bugesera has a realistic chance of securing three points, although the balanced nature of both teams does not rule out a draw.
Bugesera vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bugesera played Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bugesera: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Musanze: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Musanze scores 1.40 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bugesera 53%, Musanze 45%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Musanze 40%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Musanze has higher xG: 1.06 vs 0.95. Bugesera: 5.5 shots per match, Musanze: 6.1.
Match halves
Bugesera: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.68. Musanze: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Bugesera: 61-75 (5 goals). Musanze: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bugesera displays solid form at home with a 50% win rate in home matches and an impressive 40% clean sheet record. The hosts are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 games and averaging 2 points per match during this period. Musanze struggles in away fixtures, losing as many as 44% of their matches and failing to score in 44% of cases, which represents a significant weakness. Although the visitors have a better seasonal goal difference (28 goals), their away form (33% wins) and lower xG stats (0.97) compared to xG Against (1.62) suggest difficulties away from home. Considering the hosts' home advantage and Musanze's weaker away performances, Bugesera has a realistic chance of securing three points, although the balanced nature of both teams does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bugesera is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / match - Musanze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.4 goals / match - Musanze
Bugesera scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Musanze scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - Musanze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Musanze is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.4 pts / match - Musanze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bugesera
Musanze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.05 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 44% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 69% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 1 - 0 Musanze. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs Musanze?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 1:2 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Musanze?
Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.40. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bugesera's matches and 45% of Musanze's.
What form are Bugesera and Musanze in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Musanze 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Musanze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bugesera vs Musanze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.