Bugesera vs Police: match statistics
Bugesera vs Police: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bugesera played Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 23 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Police: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bugesera scores 0.71 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Police scores 1.00 and concedes 0.38. League average: 1.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bugesera 43%, Police 38%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 36%, Police 23%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Police has higher xG: 1.13 vs 0.99. Bugesera: 5.7 shots per match, Police: 5.9.
Match halves
Bugesera: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.50. Police: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Bugesera: 61-75 (3 goals). Police: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.88 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.8 pts / match - Police
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Bugesera · 1 goals / match - Police
Police is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.38 goals / match - Police
Bugesera scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 matches).
Police scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - Police
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 143% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.92 pts / match - Police
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bugesera
Police
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | Police | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 1.88 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 38% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs Police?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 1:0 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Police?
Bugesera score 0.71 goals per game on average and Police 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Bugesera's matches and 38% of Police's.
What form are Bugesera and Police in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Police?
The statistical background for Bugesera vs Police — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.