Bugesera vs Rutsiro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera played Rutsiro in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Bugesera: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Rutsiro: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 0.43 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Rutsiro scores 0.86 and concedes 1.71. League average: 1.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 29%, Rutsiro 71%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 14%, Rutsiro 43%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.

xG, shots and style

Bugesera has higher xG: 1.00 vs 0.80. Bugesera: 4.9 shots per match, Rutsiro: 3.6.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29. Rutsiro: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 0-15 (1 goals). Rutsiro: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.66 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 21%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 3
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
BugeseraRutsiro
2Shots3
BugeseraRutsiro
2Shots on target3
BugeseraRutsiro
0.62xG0.75
BugeseraRutsiro
8Corners5
BugeseraRutsiro
45Dangerous attacks45
BugeseraRutsiro
-1Fouls-1
BugeseraRutsiro
-1Cards-1
BugeseraRutsiro

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.43Goals scored / match0.86
BugeseraRutsiro
0.57Goals conceded / match1.71
BugeseraRutsiro
38%Average possession47%
BugeseraRutsiro
1.29Shots on target / match1.86
BugeseraRutsiro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.86Shots per match3.57
BugeseraRutsiro
1.29Shots on target1.86
BugeseraRutsiro
8.8%Shot conversion24%
BugeseraRutsiro
38%Possession47%
BugeseraRutsiro
1xG for0.8
BugeseraRutsiro
0.95xG against1.23
BugeseraRutsiro

Shooting quality

Bugesera: BalancedRutsiro: Counter-attacking
BugeseraRutsiro
Accuracy (shots on target)27%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.210.22
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bugesera
DDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W57% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Rutsiro
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W43% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-4
0.43 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.77Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rutsiro is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.43 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.86 goals / match - Rutsiro

Bugesera is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.57 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.71 goals / match - Rutsiro

Bugesera scoring profile: strong

Bugesera scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Rutsiro scoring profile: mixed

Rutsiro scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).

3Goals scored (season)6
BugeseraRutsiro
4Goals conceded (season)12
BugeseraRutsiro
1Average goals in match2.57
BugeseraRutsiro
2Goals scored (last 5)3
BugeseraRutsiro
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
BugeseraRutsiro

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal71%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%2 goals14%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%3 goals0%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraRutsiro

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal86%
BugeseraRutsiro
14%2 goals57%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%3 goals29%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraRutsiro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%Scored in both halves0%
BugeseraRutsiro

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BugeseraRutsiro
40%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraRutsiro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
BugeseraRutsiro
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
BugeseraRutsiro

2nd half

29%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
BugeseraRutsiro
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
BugeseraRutsiro
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
BugeseraRutsiro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Bugesera · 0.57 pts / match - Rutsiro

Bugesera - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Rutsiro - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.57
BugeseraRutsiro
0.14Goals scored (1st half)0.29
BugeseraRutsiro
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
BugeseraRutsiro
0.57Average goals (1st half)1.14
BugeseraRutsiro
71%Clean sheet before half-time43%
BugeseraRutsiro
86%No goal before half-time71%
BugeseraRutsiro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1
BugeseraRutsiro
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
BugeseraRutsiro
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
BugeseraRutsiro
0.43Average goals (2nd half)1.43
BugeseraRutsiro
86%Clean sheet after half-time29%
BugeseraRutsiro
71%No goal after half-time57%
BugeseraRutsiro

Bugesera - second-half results

14% W86% R0% P
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rutsiro - second-half results

14% W57% R29% P
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Rutsiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Rutsiro
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Rutsiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
209%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaRutsiro
Average goals in match 1.001.66 2.57
Both teams scored 29%32% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 14%21% 43%
Clean sheets 57%44% 14%
Goal before half-time 43%52% 57%
Goal after half-time 29%63% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.66
Average goals per match
32%
Both teams scored
21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
0.82
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Daniel Barnabas⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BugeseraGoalDaniel Barnabas

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Rutsiro?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:3 Rutsiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Rutsiro?

Bugesera score 0.43 goals per game on average and Rutsiro 0.86. The National Soccer League average is 1.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Bugesera's matches and 71% of Rutsiro's.

What form are Bugesera and Rutsiro in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Rutsiro 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Rutsiro?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.