Buhimba United Saints vs Police Uganda: match statistics
Police Uganda presents decidedly better form and statistics compared to Buhimba United Saints. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the hosts are in 14th position with just 4 wins and as many as 10 losses in the season. In the last five matches, Police Uganda earned 2.0 points per match and scored 7 goals, whereas Buhimba United Saints has only 0.8 points per match and just 2 goals. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.62 xG For vs 1.2 for the hosts), and the positive goal difference of Police Uganda away (+1) contrasts with the negative balance of the hosts in home matches (-1). Considering the quality advantage, better offensive efficiency, and more solid form of Police Uganda, a victory for the visitors is the most probable scenario for this match.
Buhimba United Saints vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Buhimba United Saints played Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Buhimba United Saints: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Police Uganda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Buhimba United Saints scores 0.88 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.75 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Buhimba United Saints 31%, Police Uganda 69%. Over 2.5: Buhimba United Saints 56%, Police Uganda 63%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.15. Buhimba United Saints: 6.9 shots per match, Police Uganda: 11.4.
Match halves
Buhimba United Saints: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.56. Police Uganda: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Buhimba United Saints: 46-60 (5 goals). Police Uganda: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Police Uganda presents decidedly better form and statistics compared to Buhimba United Saints. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the hosts are in 14th position with just 4 wins and as many as 10 losses in the season. In the last five matches, Police Uganda earned 2.0 points per match and scored 7 goals, whereas Buhimba United Saints has only 0.8 points per match and just 2 goals. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.62 xG For vs 1.2 for the hosts), and the positive goal difference of Police Uganda away (+1) contrasts with the negative balance of the hosts in home matches (-1). Considering the quality advantage, better offensive efficiency, and more solid form of Police Uganda, a victory for the visitors is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Buhimba United Saints | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police Uganda is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Buhimba United Saints · 2 pts / match - Police Uganda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints · 1.75 goals / match - Police Uganda
Police Uganda is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.19 goals / match - Buhimba United Saints · 1.06 goals / match - Police Uganda
Buhimba United Saints scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Police Uganda scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Buhimba United Saints keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Buhimba United Saints
Over / Under - Police Uganda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 176% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Buhimba United Saints · 1.38 pts / match - Police Uganda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Buhimba United Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Buhimba United Saints
Police Uganda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Buhimba United Saints | Liga | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 42% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 39% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 37% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Buhimba United Saints 0 - 0 - 1 Police Uganda. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Buhimba United Saints vs Police Uganda?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Buhimba United Saints 1:1 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Buhimba United Saints vs Police Uganda?
Buhimba United Saints score 0.88 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.75. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Buhimba United Saints's matches and 69% of Police Uganda's.
What form are Buhimba United Saints and Police Uganda in?
Over the last 5 games Buhimba United Saints have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police Uganda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Buhimba United Saints vs Police Uganda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.