Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueKakindu Municipal StadiumData current as of 17 October 2026

BUL vs NEC: match statistics

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BUL vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

BUL play NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Kakindu Municipal Stadium.

Current form

BUL: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. NEC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

BUL scores 2.20 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. NEC scores 1.83 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: BUL 60%, NEC 33%. Over 2.5: BUL 60%, NEC 33%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

BUL has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.52. BUL: 12.4 shots per match, NEC: 8.5.

Match halves

BUL: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00. NEC: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

BUL: 0-15 (3 goals). NEC: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.2Goals scored / match1.83
BULNEC
0.6Goals conceded / match0.33
BULNEC
53%Average possession51%
BULNEC
3.6Shots on target / match4.67
BULNEC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.4Shots per match8.5
BULNEC
3.6Shots on target4.67
BULNEC
17.7%Shot conversion21.6%
BULNEC
53%Possession51%
BULNEC
1.68xG for1.52
BULNEC
1.37xG against1.54
BULNEC

Shooting quality

BUL: Efficient finishingNEC: Efficient finishing
BULNEC
Accuracy (shots on target)29%55%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.610.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

BUL is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - BUL · 2.2 pts / match - NEC

BUL
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
80% W20% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
NEC
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

BUL is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

2.2 goals / match - BUL · 1.83 goals / match - NEC

NEC is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - BUL · 0.33 goals / match - NEC

BUL scoring profile: mixed

BUL scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).

NEC scoring profile: strong

NEC scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

11Goals scored (season)11
BULNEC
3Goals conceded (season)2
BULNEC
2.8Average goals in match2.17
BULNEC
11Goals scored (last 5)9
BULNEC
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
BULNEC

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal67%
BULNEC
60%2 goals67%
BULNEC
40%3 goals33%
BULNEC
40%4 goals17%
BULNEC

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal33%
BULNEC
0%2 goals0%
BULNEC
0%3 goals0%
BULNEC
0%4 goals0%
BULNEC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

60%BTTS at half-time17%
BULNEC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BULNEC
60%Scored in both halves50%
BULNEC

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BULNEC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BULNEC
60%BTTS - last 540%
BULNEC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
BULNEC
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
BULNEC
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
BULNEC

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
BULNEC
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
BULNEC
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
BULNEC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

BUL is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.2 pts / match - BUL · 2 pts / match - NEC

BUL - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing
NEC - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.2Points per match (1st half)2
BULNEC
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.83
BULNEC
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
BULNEC
1.8Average goals (1st half)1
BULNEC
40%Clean sheet before half-time83%
BULNEC
20%No goal before half-time50%
BULNEC

After half-time (2nd half)

2.2Points per match (2nd half)2.33
BULNEC
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
BULNEC
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
BULNEC
1Average goals (2nd half)1.17
BULNEC
100%Clean sheet after half-time83%
BULNEC
40%No goal after half-time33%
BULNEC

BUL - second-half results

60% W40% D0% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NEC - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

BUL - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

BUL
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

NEC
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

BUL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
204%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
173%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

BULLigaNEC
Average goals in match▲ 2.802.14• 2.17
Both teams scored▲ 60%36%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%40%▼ 33%
Clean sheets• 40%40%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%58%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%68%• 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.14
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.08
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): BUL 0 - 1 - 1 NEC. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

BUL
0 : 1
NEC
NEC
1 : 1
BUL

FAQ

When do BUL and NEC play?

BUL face NEC on 21 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Kakindu Municipal Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between BUL and NEC?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches BUL won 0, NEC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs NEC?

BUL score 2.20 goals per game on average and NEC 1.83. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 60% of BUL's matches and 33% of NEC's.

What form are BUL and NEC in?

Over the last 5 games BUL have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and NEC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs NEC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for BUL vs NEC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.