Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv: match statistics
Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bunyodkor played Lokomotiv in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 2 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bunyodkor: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Lokomotiv: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bunyodkor scores 1.00 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Lokomotiv scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bunyodkor 50%, Lokomotiv 50%. Over 2.5: Bunyodkor 50%, Lokomotiv 50%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.10. Bunyodkor: 9.5 shots per match, Lokomotiv: 9.8.
Match halves
Bunyodkor: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Lokomotiv: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Bunyodkor: 16-30 (1 goals). Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project a win for Lokomotiv (2) — the visitors hold advantages in efficiency and defense: they average 1.5 goals on the road versus Bunyodkor’s 1.0 at home, and their shot conversion rate is 15% compared to the hosts’ 8%. Lokomotiv registers an average of 4 shots on target per away game versus Bunyodkor’s 2 on home matches, while average xG is 1.35 for the visitors and 1.31 for the hosts, indicating higher quality chances created by Lokomotiv. Defensively, Lokomotiv concedes 1.5 goals away on average, whereas Bunyodkor concedes 2.0 at home and has 0% clean sheets, while the visitors keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, giving the away side a clear edge in protecting the backline. Both teams have similar form over the last 5 matches (1.4 points each), but Lokomotiv scored 6 goals in their last 5 fixtures versus Bunyodkor’s 5, which reinforces the visitors’ attacking advantage. Therefore I expect a Lokomotiv victory and estimate their chances at 50%, a draw 25% and a home win 25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 50% for Bunyodkor and 50% for Lokomotiv, but the league has a lower BTTS at 41% and a high clean sheet rate of 66%, which overall favors a No Goal scenario. Both teams average 1.5 goals scored per season, with xG of 1.26 for the home side and 1.35 for the visitors — offensively moderately productive but without a clear edge. A strong argument for No Goal is Bunyodkor’s defense — conceding only 0.5 goals on the season with a 50% clean sheet rate, while Lokomotiv concedes 1.5 goals per match, increasing the chance of at least one clean sheet. Last 5 matches give mixed signals: Bunyodkor had BTTS in 60% of games, Lokomotiv in 40%, with 5-game averages of 1.0 goals scored (home) and 1.2 (away) and 1.0 goals conceded by each team, which is inconclusive. Considering the league’s high clean sheet rate (66%), the home side’s low seasonal goals conceded (0.5) and both teams’ moderate xG ~1.3, I assess BTTS not at 60% vs 40% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates 1.32 xG for Bunyodkor and 1.21 xG for Lokomotiv (total 2.53), calculated as the average of home attack xG 1.26 and away defense xG 1.38 and vice versa (1.35 and 1.06). The 2.53 total is above the league average of 2.38, and both teams average 9.5 and 10.0 shots with 3.5 and 4.0 on target and conversion rates of 16% and 15%, which translates into a realistic chance of 2–3 goals. Lokomotiv has 100% of matches this season over 1.5 goals versus 50% for Bunyodkor, so Over 1.5 is the strongest signal (88%). The 2.5 line is more balanced: season Over25 is 50%/50% and in the last 5 matches Bunyodkor had 60% over 2.5 compared to 40% for Lokomotiv, hence a moderate edge for Over 2.5 (56%). Over 3.5 is unlikely (22%) given the expected 2.53 xG and an average goals in the last 5 matches of around 2.2 (5 and 6 goals), so I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data indicate Lokomotiv is likely to lead at the break: average first-half goals are 1.5 for the visitors versus 0.5 for Bunyodkor, and total first-half goals are 4 for Lokomotiv against 1 for the hosts, increasing the probability of the visitors holding a halftime lead. However, second-half signals favor the hosts — Bunyodkor scores on average 1.0 goals in second halves and collects 2.0 points in those periods, while Lokomotiv registers 0.0 goals and only 0.5 points after the break, suggesting a possible turnaround. The quality of chances is similar (xG 1.26 for Bunyodkor versus 1.35 for Lokomotiv and on average 3.5 vs 4.0 shots on target), so differences are marginal. Additionally, Lokomotiv concedes on average 1.5 goals per match versus 0.5 for the hosts, which supports a Bunyodkor comeback scenario. Therefore I assess 2/1 (visitors leading at Half-Time, hosts winning Full-Time) as the most probable outcome and assign it the highest probability in the distribution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bunyodkor | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Bunyodkor · 1.5 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Bunyodkor is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Bunyodkor · 1 goals / match - Lokomotiv
Bunyodkor scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Lokomotiv scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Bunyodkor keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bunyodkor
Over / Under - Lokomotiv
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Bunyodkor · 2 pts / match - Lokomotiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bunyodkor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bunyodkor
Lokomotiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Bunyodkor | Liga | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 2.42 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Bunyodkor 2:0 Lokomotiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
Bunyodkor score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv 1.50. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bunyodkor's matches and 50% of Lokomotiv's.
What form are Bunyodkor and Lokomotiv in?
Over the last 5 games Bunyodkor have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Lokomotiv 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.