Bunyodkor vs Neftchi: match statistics
Bunyodkor vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bunyodkor played Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 14 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Bunyodkor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Neftchi: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bunyodkor scores 1.17 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.67 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bunyodkor 33%, Neftchi 17%. Over 2.5: Bunyodkor 33%, Neftchi 83%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.15. Bunyodkor: 9.5 shots per match, Neftchi: 14.5.
Match halves
Bunyodkor: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50. Neftchi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Bunyodkor: 31-45+ (2 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi holds a clear offensive and defensive advantage: away they average 3.5 goals per match with 15.5 shots and 8 on target (conversion 23%), while Bunyodkor at home records 1.5 goals with 10.5 shots and 3 on target (conversion 14%). The xG differential confirms this edge — Neftchi’s away xG for is 1.98 versus the hosts’ 1.29 xG at home, and xG against is 1.09 for the visitors vs 1.67 for Bunyodkor. In the last 5 matches Neftchi has 4 wins and 11 goals, whereas Bunyodkor has 3 wins and 6 goals in their last 5; on average that’s 2.4 points per match for Neftchi vs 2.0 for the hosts. Additionally, the visitors do not concede goals away (0 average conceded and 100% clean sheets), while the hosts concede 1 goal on average at home, so the most likely outcome is a Neftchi victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS (80% vs 20%) because the decisive signal comes from Neftchi: 100% clean sheets this season and 0% matches with both teams scoring. Although Neftchi averages 3.5 goals scored per match, generates 1.98 xG and records 8.0 shots on target with a 23% conversion rate, their goals conceded average is 0.0 and 100% of matches are over 2.5 goals while still being No BTTS, indicating one-sided wins without conceding. Bunyodkor at home averages 2.25 goals scored per match, has season BTTS of 25% and 50% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 1.2 goals for and 0.6 goals against, so they can score but often do not concede. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% for Bunyodkor and 20% for Neftchi, versus a league BTTS average of 47%, so the local defensive stats (100% and 50% clean sheets) outweigh the league tendency. For these reasons I assign 80% probability to No BTTS and 20% to BTTS (Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams possess strong attacking potential: Bunyodkor averages 2.25 goals at home, while Neftchi averages 3.50 away (sum of their averages = 5.75). After accounting for xG (Bunyodkor xG_for 1.57 and opponent xG_against 1.09; Neftchi xG_for 1.98 and opponent xG_against 0.95) the model yields approximately 1.33 expected goals for the home side and 1.47 for the visitors, totaling 2.80. Season-long Over 1.5 rates are 75% for Bunyodkor and 100% for Neftchi, and Over 2.5 are 75% and 100% respectively, which strongly supports a bet over 1.5 and also provides a solid signal for Over 2.5. Additionally, Neftchi records an average of 8.0 SOT with a 23% conversion versus the home side’s 4.25 SOT and 16% conversion, so the visitors generate more high-quality chances; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (selection: over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Neftchi holds a clear advantage: on average 3.5 goals scored per match, 0.0 conceded and a 100% win rate this season, which strongly indicates their victory after 90 minutes. The visitors led at the break in 100% of their matches, and the half-time goals average is 1.5 for Neftchi versus 1.0 for Bunyodkor, so a lead at the break for the visitors is the most likely outcome. Higher xG 1.98 vs 1.57 and 8.0 shots on target versus 4.25, with conversion rates of 23% vs 16%, demonstrate Neftchi’s superior offensive production and efficiency. Bunyodkor, however, averages 2.25 goals per match and led at the break in 50% of games, hence a half-time draw followed by an away win (X/2) received the second-highest probability. On this basis I select 2/2 as the most reliable HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bunyodkor | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Bunyodkor · 2.4 pts / match - Neftchi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 128% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Bunyodkor · 2.67 goals / match - Neftchi
Neftchi is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Bunyodkor · 0.33 goals / match - Neftchi
Bunyodkor scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
Neftchi scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Bunyodkor keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bunyodkor
Over / Under - Neftchi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Bunyodkor · 2.17 pts / match - Neftchi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bunyodkor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bunyodkor
Neftchi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Bunyodkor | Liga | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.47 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 51% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bunyodkor 1 - 1 - 0 Neftchi. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bunyodkor vs Neftchi?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Bunyodkor 0:1 Neftchi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bunyodkor and Neftchi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bunyodkor won 1, Neftchi won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bunyodkor vs Neftchi?
Bunyodkor score 1.17 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.67. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Bunyodkor's matches and 17% of Neftchi's.
What form are Bunyodkor and Neftchi in?
Over the last 5 games Bunyodkor have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Neftchi 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bunyodkor vs Neftchi?
The statistical background for Bunyodkor vs Neftchi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.