Burgos CF vs Almería: match statistics
Burgos CF vs Almería: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burgos CF played Almería in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Burgos CF: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Almería: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burgos CF scores 1.16 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Almería scores 2.05 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burgos CF 42%, Almería 74%. Over 2.5: Burgos CF 34%, Almería 74%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Almería has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.13. Burgos CF: 9.8 shots per match, Almería: 15.2.
Match halves
Burgos CF: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61. Almería: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Burgos CF: 31-45+ (11 goals). Almería: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almería is a narrow favorite due to superior attacking output and form: the visitors have scored 78 goals this season versus 44 for Burgos and have scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts' 6. In the last 5 fixtures Almería have won 4 matches and average 2.4 points per game, while Burgos have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss averaging 1.6 points per game. Burgos, however, possess a significant home defensive advantage – they concede just 0.63 goals per game at home and record 42% clean sheets, whereas Almería concede 1.58 goals away and have 16% clean sheets. Chance quality also favors the visitors: Almería average 4.74 SOT away and xG 1.48 versus Burgos' 3.58 SOT and xG 1.28, suggesting more clear-cut chances for Almería despite their weaker defense. In summary, the visitors' win is favored based on 78 vs 44 goals and better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 points/game), but Burgos' low home goals conceded (0.63) materially increases the probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal stats strongly support BTTS: Burgos has 79% of matches with both teams scoring, Almería 68%, versus a league average of 56%. In Almería’s last 5 matches BTTS = 100% with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while Burgos has 60% BTTS with averages of 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded in their last five. xG and shot metrics confirm chance exchange — Burgos xG 1.90 and 6.63 shots on target per match, Almería xG 1.48 with xG against 1.60 and 4.74 shots on target. Additionally, low clean sheet rates (Burgos 21%, Almería 16%) and a high share of home matches over 2.5 goals (89%) reinforce the both-teams-to-score scenario. Based on this I assess an 80% probability for BTTS - Yes and 20% for No as the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and average-goals analysis points to a high-scoring game: Burgos has xG_for 1.90 and Almería xG_against 1.60, yielding ~1.75 xG for the home side, and since Burgos averages 2.63 goals at home with a conversion rate of 16% (versus Almería’s 11%), I adjust the home forecast to ~1.85 goals. For Almería I combine xG_for 1.48 with xG_against_home 1.35 (≈1.42), and considering Almería scored 78 goals this season and averages 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches, I set the expected away goals at ~1.35. The sum is ~3.20 goals, which aligns with season indicators: Burgos have 89% of home matches over 2.5 goals, Almería 58% away, and both teams have BTTS rates of 79% (Burgos) and 68% (Almería). The strongest signal is over 1.5 – Burgos have 89% of home matches >1.5 and Almería 84% away – therefore I recommend the over side on the 1.5 line as the most reliable. Over 2.5 also looks solid (~76% probability), while over 3.5 is less certain (≈44% given the projected ~3.20 goals).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics show Burgos led at the break in 42% of their matches, but the first half most often finishes level — Burgos drew at HT in 53% of cases and Almería in 47%, giving roughly a 50% probability of a draw at Half-Time. After the break the home side has a clear offensive edge: Burgos score on average 1.47 goals in the second half versus 0.68 for Almería, and the home xG in second halves is 1.90 versus 1.48 for the visitors, suggesting higher-quality chances for Burgos after the interval. The full-time outcome is also influenced by the home advantage this season — Burgos win 74% of their home matches and average 2.32 points per home game, while Almería win only 37% of away matches and average 1.37 points on the road. Additionally, Burgos register more shots on target (6.63 vs 4.74) and have a higher conversion rate (16% vs 11%), and the hosts win the second half in 57% of cases; therefore the scenario of a draw at HT and a Burgos victory FT (X/1) appears strongest. Consequently X/1 receives the highest rating in the model (~27%), with 1/1 supported as an alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burgos CF | Almería | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almería is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Burgos CF · 2.4 pts / match - Almería
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Burgos CF · 2.05 goals / match - Almería
Burgos CF is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Burgos CF · 1.53 goals / match - Almería
Burgos CF scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Almería scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Burgos CF
Over / Under - Almería
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almería is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Burgos CF · 1.61 pts / match - Almería
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burgos CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Almería - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burgos CF
Almería
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Burgos CF | Liga | Almería | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 50% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burgos CF 1 - 0 - 0 Almería. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burgos CF vs Almería?
The Segunda División match finished Burgos CF 0:0 Almería. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burgos CF vs Almería?
Burgos CF score 1.16 goals per game on average and Almería 2.05. The Segunda División average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Burgos CF's matches and 74% of Almería's.
What form are Burgos CF and Almería in?
Over the last 5 games Burgos CF have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Almería 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burgos CF vs Almería?
The statistical background for Burgos CF vs Almería — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.